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Multilateral Contracting with Externalities

Econometrica 2005 73(4), 1329-1350
This paper proposes a model for multilateral contracting, where contracts are written and renegotiated over time, and where contracts may impose externalities on other agents. Equilibria always exist and the equilibrium value function is linear and monotonically increasing on the contracts. If the grand coalition, or contracting among all agents, is inefficient, we show that bargaining delays arise in positive-externality games and equilibrium inefficiency may remain bounded away from zero even as bargaining frictions converge to zero. Otherwise, if the grand coalition is efficient, there are no bargaining delays, convergence to the grand coalition occurs in a finite number of contracting rounds, and the outcome becomes efficient as players become more patient. Copyright The Econometric Society 2005.

Going Public without Governance: Managerial Reputation Effects

Journal of Finance 2000 55(2), 615-646
This paper addresses the agency problem between controlling shareholders and minority shareholders. This problem is common among public firms in many countries where the legal system does not effectively protect minority shareholders against oppression by controlling shareholders. We show that even without any explicit corporate governance mechanisms protecting minority shareholders, controlling shareholders can implicitly commit not to expropriate them. Stock prices of such companies are significantly higher and firms are more likely go public because of this reputation effect. Moreover, insiders divest shares gradually over time, at a rate that is negatively related to the degree of moral hazard.

Mergers and acquisitions with private equity intermediation

Journal of Corporate Finance 2024 87, 102611 open access
We develop a search model of mergers and acquisitions (M&A), intermediated by private equity (PE) funds which may face pressure to sell. The selling pressure leads to the development of a secondary buyout (SBO) market, enabling PE funds to bail each other out. Interestingly, an increase in the number of PE funds can improve each fund’s value, because the enhanced benefits of SBOs can prevail over the reduction in value from narrower buy-sell spreads due to more intense competition. We calibrate the model using data for the US middle market and find that PE funds could lose 64% of their valuation without SBOs. Moreover, the increase in the number of funds from 2000 to 2017 contributes to a 48% increase in fund valuation due to the complementarity among funds. Nevertheless, our model predicts that this mechanism might have peaked in 2021, and more PE funds could decrease their value.

Dynamic Processes of Social and Economic Interactions: On the Persistence of Inefficiencies

Journal of Political Economy 2005 113(3), 626-667
An economy with a finite number of agents and a finite number of states is considered. An exogenous institutional rule prescribes which moves from one state to another are feasible to each coalition. At each time, an agent is called to act with some exogenous probability, and he chooses a coalition, a feasible new state to move the economy to, and side payments between the agents in the coalition. The setup can be applied to various dynamic processes of social and economic interactions such as legislative bargaining, coalition formation, or exchange economies. Whenever agents are unable to write long‐term contracts, but are otherwise unconstrained both in their ability to write arbitrary spot contracts and in their ability to collude, there can be long‐run inefficiencies (with cycles or inefficient steady states). However, when agents are sufficiently patient, the initial state from which the process starts plays no role in the long run. Moreover, when there exists an efficient state that is free of negative externalities (in the sense that a move away from that state does not hurt the agents whose consent is not required for the move), the system must converge to this efficient state in the long run. It is thus more important to design institutions guaranteeing the existence of an efficient negative externality–free state than to implement a fine initialization of the process.

Why do public firms issue private and public securities?

Journal of Financial Intermediation 2012 21(4), 619-658
The market for public firms issuing private equity, debt, and convertible securities is large. Of the over 13,000 issues we examine, more than half are in the private market. Our results show asymmetric information plays a major role in the choice of security type within public and private markets and in the choice of market in which to issue securities. In the public market, firms’ predicted probability of issuing equity declines and issuing debt increases with measures of asymmetric information. There is a weak reversal of this sensitivity in the private market. We also find a large sensitivity of the choice of public versus private markets to asymmetric information, risk and market timing for debt, convertibles, and in particular, equity issues.

SEC Regulation Fair Disclosure, information, and the cost of capital

Journal of Corporate Finance 2007 13(2-3), 300-334
Regulation Fair Disclosure (“Reg FD”), adopted by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission in October 2000 was intended to stop the practice of “selective disclosure”, in which companies give material information only to a few analysts and institutional investors prior to disclosing it publicly. Our analysis shows that the adoption of Reg FD caused a significant shift in analyst attention, resulting in a welfare loss for small firms, which now face a higher cost of capital. The loss of the “selective disclosure” channel for information flows could not be compensated for via other information transmission channels. This effect was more pronounced for firms communicating complex information and, consistent with the investor recognition hypothesis, for those losing analyst coverage. Moreover, we find no significant relationship of the different responses with litigation risks and agency costs. Our cross-sectional results suggest that Reg FD had unintended consequences and that “information” in financial markets may be more complicated than current finance theory admits.

Corporate Inversions and Governance

Journal of Financial Intermediation 2021 47, 100880
Whether an inversion is associated with weaker firm governance is an open empirical question. While many inversions happen to countries that offer weaker protection to minority shareholders than the U.S., most firms that invert continue to be treated by the SEC as an “U.S. issuer”, and thus, their shareholders benefit from the full protection offered by the U.S. Federal Securities Laws. Our analysis shows that firms that invert exhibit an increase in their stock illiquidity, information asymmetries, and a decrease in their institutional shareholdings, indicating a weaker market-based governance following the inversion. Executives also receive a smaller proportion of equity-based compensation and their wealth is less sensitive to stock prices following the inversion. Thus, despite enjoying the full protection of federal securities laws, investors perceive inverted firms to have weaker governance relative to comparable U.S. firms.

Mergers and Acquisitions: An Experimental Analysis of Synergies, Externalities and Dynamics

Review of Finance 2004 8(4), 481-514
Mergers and acquisitions improve market efficiency by capturing synergies between firms. But takeovers also impose externalities (both positive and negative) on the remaining firms in the industry. This paper describes a new equilibrium concept designed to explain and predict takeovers in this setting. We experimentally compare the new equilibrium concept to that of competing con-cepts in situations without and with externalities. Moreover, we examine the predicted dynamics of takeovers and outcome implications of those dynamics. Our experimental results support the predictions of the new equilibrium concept and provide implications for further empirical tests. 1.

Mergers and Acquisitions: An Experimental Analysis of Synergies, Externalities and Dynamics

Review of Finance 2004 8(4), 481-514 open access
Mergers and acquisitions improve market efficiency by capturing synergies between firms. But takeovers also impose externalities (both positive and negative) on the remaining firms in the industry. This paper describes a new equilibrium concept designed to explain and predict takeovers in this setting. We experimentally compare the new equilibrium concept to that of competing concepts in situations without and with externalities. Moreover, we examine the predicted dynamics of takeovers and outcome implications of those dynamics. Our experimental results support the predictions of the new equilibrium concept and provide implications for further empirical tests.

Financial Access and Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from Credit Lotteries

American Economic Review 2024 114(6), 1854-1881
We assess the employment and income effects of access to credit dedicated to investment in individual mobility by exploiting time-series variation in access to credit through lotteries for participants in a group-lending mechanism in Brazil. We find that access to credit for investment in individual mobility increases formal employment rates and salaries, yielding an annual rate of return of 12 to 15 percent. Consistent with a geographically broader job search, individuals transition to jobs farther from home and public transportation. Our results suggest that accessing distant labor markets through credit for investment in individual mobility yields high and persistent returns.