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The Effects of Supply Contracts on the Output and Price of an Exhaustible Resource

Quarterly Journal of Economics 1980 95(2), 245
This paper analyzes the effects of contracts for exhaustible resources. The conclusions are as follows: (1) for a single mine, with increased risk production for the spot market falls, long-term contracting increases, total output falls, contract length generally decreases, equilibrium spot prices increase, and contract prices may rise or fall; (2) with changing economies because of past production, output (spot prices) rises (fall) and then falls (rise), and this scalloped pattern remains with entry and storage included; and (3) contracting permits pairwise gains, may create losses for others, and prices are “fuzzy” signals as they may change for several different reasons.

An Extension of Optimality Criteria: An Axiomatic Approach to Institutional Choice

Journal of Political Economy 1973 81(2, Part 1), 386-400
An argument by Buchanan that the criterion of Pareto optimality is of little value when used solely with traditional economic variables is expanded and developed formally in an axiomatic framework of individual choice. Individual decisions are first aggregated to group decisions, and then group decisions are aggregated to give social decisions. Social decisions are compared with the Pareto-optimal conditions for social choice. Finally, there is a short discussion of the implications for the study of social choice and institutional change.

Alternative Functional Forms and Errors of Pseudo Data Estimation

The Review of Economics and Statistics 1980 62(2), 323
7 The F-statistic for the first test is F(4,107) = 0.50 while for the second test it is F(4,11 1) = 0.81. Both of these values are well below the critical-F at conventional levels of significance. 8 Further experimentation showed that one additional parameter could be eliminated by, for example, disposing of the last join point (setting d2 = 0.). However, since the purpose here was simply to show that fewer than 12 parameters are required, the equation has been left in the present form.