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Measuring Intertemporal Substitution: The Role of Durable Goods

Journal of Political Economy 1998 106(5), 1078-1098 open access
As pointed out by Hall (1988), intertemporal substitution by consumers is a central element of many modern macroeconomic and international models. We argue that Hall's estimator or the IES is downward biased because the intra-temporal substitution between nondurable consumption goods and durable consumption goods is ignored and because the changes in real interest rates affect user costs of durable goods.