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Golden Eggs and Hyperbolic Discounting
Hyperbolic discount functions induce dynamically inconsistent preferences, implying a motive for consumers to constrain their own future choices. This paper analyzes the decisions of a hyperbolic consumer who has access to an imperfect commitment technology: an illiquid asset whose sale must be initiated one period before the sale proceeds are received. The model predicts that consumption tracks income, and the model explains why consumers have asset-specific marginal propensities to consume. The model suggests that financial innovation may have caused the ongoing decline in U. S. savings rates, since financial innovation increases liquidity, eliminating commitment opportunities. Finally, the model implies that financial market innovation may reduce welfare by providing “too much” liquidity.
Thin Markets, Asymmetric Information, and Mortgage-Backed Securities
This paper tries to explain why the issuers of an asset would restrict what information is available about their asset. In a world where knowledge is valued, market forces should induce disclosure, but we often see markets (such as the market for mortgage-backed securities) where assets' issuers refuse to release valuable information. We present a model of market liquidity and find that market liquidity can both rise and fall with the quantity of released information. More information may increase asymmetries of information and “lemons” style breakdowns. We find that asset bundling is more advantageous when private information is more accurate, which may be the case in the mortgage-backed securities market.Journal of Economic LiteratureClassification Numbers: G14, G32.
Absolute Priority Rule Violations, Credit Rationing, and Efficiency
Violations of the absolute priority rule (APR) are commonplace in private workouts, formal business reorganizations, and personal bankruptcies. While some theorists suggest they may arise endogenously, they are clearly magnified by the institutional structure of the bankruptcy code. This paper shows that APR violations exacerbate credit rationing problems by reducing the payment lenders receive in default states. Furthermore, APR violations make default more likely to occur, thereby making debt financing more costly. Together, these results support the view that APR violations create an impediment to efficient financial contracting.Journal of Economic LiteratureClassification Numbers: G33, G38, K20.
Special Repo Rates: An Empirical Analysis
Duffie (1996) examines the theoretical impact of repo “specials” on the prices of Treasury securities and concludes that, all else the same, an issue on special will carry a higher price than an otherwise identical issue. We examine this hypothesis and find strong evidence in support of it. We also examine whether the liquidity premium associated with “on-the-run” issues is due to repo specialness and find evidence of a distinct effect. Finally, we investigate whether auction tightness and percentage awarded to dealers are related to subsequent specialness and find that both variables àre generally significant.
Special Repo Rates: An Empirical Analysis.
Darrell Duffie (1996) examines the theoretical impact of repo 'specials' on the prices of Treasury securities and concludes that, all else the same, an issue on special will carry a higher price than an otherwise identical issue. The authors examine this hypothesis and find strong evidence in support of it. They also examine whether the liquidity premium associated with 'on-the-run' issues is due to repo specialness and find evidence of a distinct effect. Finally, the authors investigate whether auction tightness and percentage awarded to dealers are related to subsequent specialness and find that both variables are generally significant.
Special Repo Rates: An Empirical Analysis
Duffie (1996) examines the theoretical impact of repo “specials” on the prices of Treasury securities and concludes that, all else the same, an issue on special will carry a higher price than an otherwise identical issue. We examine this hypothesis and find strong evidence in support of it. We also examine whether the liquidity premium associated with “on‐the‐run” issues is due to repo specialness and find evidence of a distinct effect. Finally, we investigate whether auction tightness and percentage awarded to dealers are related to subsequent specialness and find that both variables àre generally significant.
On Cost Tradeoffs Between Conservative and Market Value Accounting
Early resolution of troubled financial institutions: An examination of the accelerated resolution program
This paper expands the empirical research on the auctions of failed financial institutions by examining the thrift industry Accelerated Resolution Program as an alternative to the standard auction procedures. Jointly managed by the Office of Thrift Supervision and the Resolution Trust Corporation, the objective of this program was to intervene before insolvency and, thereby, to reduce the regulatory expenditures. Previous research has often found the existence of a wealth transfer to the winning bidders in both commercial bank and thrift auctions. In contrast to this previous research, no evidence is found in this study to conclude that a wealth transfer occurred in standard Resolution Trust Corporation auctions. Furthermore, while the Accelerated Resolution Program yielded positive abnormal returns, there is also no evidence of a wealth transfer.
On the Dynamic Properties of Asymmetric Models of Real GNP
There is now a substantial body of evidence that suggests business cycles are asymmetric. However, the evidence has been accumulated using a wide array of statistical techniques and, consequently, is based on various definitions of asymmetry. This paper examines several parametric models that have been used to study asymmetries in real GNP. Although these models capture asymmetries in very different ways, their dynamic properties are remarkably similar.