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The Marginal Propensity to Hire

Review of Economic Studies 2026
When financial constraints bind, firms adjust employment in response to cash flow shocks. A 2010 revaluation of business rates, a UK tax levied on business-occupied properties, implied that similar firms, occupying similar properties in narrow geographical locations, experienced different tax changes. I find that, on average, for every £1 of additional cash flow triggered by the tax change, 39 pence were spent on employment, with small and leveraged firms responding the most. I use these findings to discipline a general equilibrium model with firm heterogeneity and financial frictions and quantitatively determine the aggregate effects of a fiscal transfer to firms.

Stock Market Participation, Inequality, and Monetary Policy

Review of Economic Studies 2025 92(4), 2656-2690 open access
Recent literature has shown that the fraction of liquidity-constrained households in the population critically determines the mix of transmission channels of monetary policy. In this article, we bring a different but important dimension of heterogeneity to the forefront: stock market participation. We show that the stock market participation rate not only shapes the mix of policy channels but also heavily affects the aggregate responses. This happens as direct rebalancing effects and indirect equilibrium effects into investment are both increasing in the number of stock market participants, reinforcing each other. We show this in a quantitative New Keynesian model designed to account for the population share of stock market participants, their position in the income and wealth distribution, and their saving rates. The model implies that, as stock market participation has increased since the 1980s, the power of monetary policy on the real economy has strengthened considerably.