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The Upstairs Market for Large-Block Transactions: Analysis and Measurement of Price Effects

Review of Financial Studies 1996 9(1), 1-36
[This article develops a model of the upstairs market where order size, beliefs, and prices are determined endogenously. We test the model's predictions using unique data for 5,625 equity trades during the period 1985 to 1992 that are known to be upstairs transactions and are identified as either buyer or seller initiated. We find that price movements prior to the trade date are significantly positively related to trade size, consistent with information leakage as the block is "shopped" upstairs. Further, the temporary price impact or liquidity effect is a concave function of order size, which may result from upstairs intermediation.]

Admissibility of the Likelihood Ratio Test when the Parameter Space is Restricted under the Alternative

Econometrica 1996 64(3), 705
This paper considers hypothesis tests when the parameter space is restricted under the alternative hypothesis. Multivariate one-sided tests are a leading example. The likelihood ratio (LR) test is shown to be admissible and to maximize power against alternatives that are arbitrarily distant from the null hypothesis. Exact results are established first for Gaussian linear regression models with known variance. Asymptotic analogues are then established for dynamic nonlinear models.

The Upstairs Market for Large-Block Transactions: Analysis and Measurement of Price Effects

Review of Financial Studies 1996 9(1), 1-36
This article develops a model of the upstairs market where order size, beliefs, and prices are determined endogenously. We test the model’s predictions using unique data for 5,625 equity trades during the period 1985 to 1992 that are known to be upstairs transactions and are identified as either buyer or seller initiated. We find that price movements prior to the trade date are significantly positively related to trade size, consistent with information leakage as the block is “shopped” upstairs. Further, the temporary price impact or liquidity effect is a concave function of order size, which may result from upstairs intermediation.

Testable Restrictions on the Equilibrium Manifold

Econometrica 1996 64(6), 1249
We present a finite system of polynomial inequalities in unobservable variables and market data that observations on market prices, individual incomes and aggregate endowments must satisfy to be consistent with the equilibrium behavior of some pure trade economy. Quantifier elimination is used to derive testable propositions on finite data sets for the pure trade model.

Computing Equilibria when Asset Markets are Incomplete

Econometrica 1996 64(1), 1
Existence of equilibrium with incomplete markets is problematic because demand functions are typically not continuous. Discontinuities occur at prices for which a marketed asset suddenly becomes redundant. The authors show that this discontinuity disappears if they allow an agent in the economy to introduce a new asset when such redundancies occur. This enables them to prove generic existence with incomplete markets using a standard path-following argument. Moreover, the authors' approach suggests a simple algorithm for computing equilibria when markets are incomplete. They demonstrate this by computing equilibrium for a numerical example. Copyright 1996 by The Econometric Society.

International Financial Markets and the Firm.

Journal of Finance 1996 51(2), 765
Presents a rigorous and balanced presentation of international financial markets and international corporate finance. Takes a unified approach based on arbitrage-fee pricing. Includes an in-depth discussion of the economic role of the forward rate and the value of the forward contract, a comprehensive discussion of when and why the firm can increase its value by hedging foreign exchange risk, an economic analysis of the various payment and credit insurance techniques used in international trade, and more. Over 400 end-of-chapter problems test studentsAE understanding of concepts.