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The Effects of Output Interference, Availability, and Accounting Information on Investors' Predictive Judgments

The Accounting Review 1989 64(3), 433-448
[Prediction is one of the most important aspects of investment decision making. This study provides evidence that investors' predictive earnings judgments can be systematically influenced as a consequence of the combined effects of "output interference" and "availability," and that the use of financial accounting information in the prediction process seems to provide limited benefit in terms of reducing this effect. Output interference is a psychological concept that implies that whatever is thought about first interferes with, and thus inhibits, later thoughts about an issue. An availability-based prediction strategy is one in which the decision maker uses the relative number of pro versus con reasons generated, and/or the ease with which such reasons can be generated, as cues in judging the likelihood of future events. Fifty-eight investors participated in an experiment that demonstrated that the order in which they considered opposing arguments regarding the possibility of reaching a specified level of earnings had an impact on both their ability to generate supporting and opposing reasons and their subsequent probability judgment that earnings would actually reach the specified level. The outcome for which the investors were able to generate the most supporting reasons was judged more probable. Investors were able to think of more reasons supporting a particular outcome, not because there were more such reasons in the objective environment, but rather as a consequence of output interference. The systematic effect on judgment, although perhaps slightly reduced, persisted when investors had access to financial statements while considering the company's earnings prospects.]

The Effects of Output Interference, Availability, and Accounting Information on Investors' Predictive Judgments.

The Accounting Review 1989 64(3), 433-448
Prediction 18 one of the most important aspects of investment decision making. This study provides evidence that investors' predictive earnings judgments can be systematically Influenced as a consequence of the combined effects of "output interference" and "availability," and that the use of financial accounting information in the prediction process seems to provide limited benefit in terms of reducing this effect. Output Interference Is a psychological concept that Implies that whatever is thought about first interferes with, and thus inhibits, later thoughts about an Issue. An availability-based prediction strategy is one in which the decision maker uses the relative number of pro versus con masons generated, and/or the ease with which such reasons can be generated, as cues in judging the likelihood of future events. Fifty-eight Investors participated in an experiment that demonstrated that the order in which they considered opposing arguments regarding the possibility of reaching a specified level of earnings had an impact on both their ability to generate supporting and opposing masons and their subsequent probability judgment that earnings would actually reach the specified level. The outcome for which the Investors were able to generate the most supporting masons was judged more probable, investors were able to think of more reasons supporting a particular outcome, not because there were more such reasons in the objective environment, but rather as a consequence of output interference. The systematic effect on judgment, although perhaps slightly reduced, persisted when investors had access to financial statements while considering the company's earnings prospects.

Managers’ green investment disclosures and investors’ reaction

Journal of Accounting and Economics 2016 61(1), 239-254
Although managers’ green investments have no impact on future cash flows in our experimental markets, investors respond favorably when managers make and disclose an investment and highlight the societal benefits rather than the cost to the company. Managers anticipate investors’ reaction and therefore often disclose their investment and the associated societal benefits. Managers and other shareholders benefit from investors’ reaction, but the investment cost always exceeds this benefit, demonstrating that managers make green investments because they value the societal benefits. Collectively, our findings show that both investors and managers tradeoff wealth for societal benefits and help explain managers’ corporate social responsibilty disclosures.

The Effects of Horizontal and Exchange Inequity on Tax Reporting Decisions

The Accounting Review 1995 70(4), 619-634
[A general prediction from the economic theory of tax reporting is that taxpayers will report more income as the tax rate increases, but the related empirical evidence has been mixed. We conducted an experiment to examine whether taxpayers' responses to a tax-rate change depend on both economic effects and perceptions of horizontal and exchange inequity. Our findings reconcile the previously inconsistent empirical results by identifying conditions under which perceptions of inequity drive taxpayers' reporting decisions. In summary, subjects reported less (more) income as tax rates increased (decreased) when they were inequitably treated relative to others, but not when they were equitably treated relative to others.]

A Broader Perspective on Corporate Social Responsibility Research in Accounting

The Accounting Review 2012 87(3), 797-806
Views Icon Views Article contents Figures & tables Video Audio Supplementary Data Peer Review Share Icon Share Facebook Twitter LinkedIn Email Tools Icon Tools Get Permissions Search Site Cite View This Citation Add to Citation Manager Citation Donald V. Moser, Patrick R. Martin; A Broader Perspective on Corporate Social Responsibility Research in Accounting. The Accounting Review 1 May 2012; 87 (3): 797–806. https://doi.org/10.2308/accr-10257 Download citation file: Ris (Zotero) Reference Manager EasyBib Bookends Mendeley Papers EndNote RefWorks BibTex toolbar search Search Dropdown Menu toolbar search search input Search input auto suggest filter your search All ContentThe Accounting Review Search Advanced Search

L'incidence de l'hypothèse initiale du vérificateur sur la performance subséquente dans le diagnostic des erreurs véritables*

Contemporary Accounting Research 1995 11(2), 781-800
Résumé. Les travaux antérieurs qui ont porté sur la formulation d'hypothèses démontrent que les vérificateurs ont tendance, dans la formulation de leurs hypothèses initiales, à attribuer les fluctuations imprévues aux erreurs qui se produisent fréquemment dans les états financiers. L'on ne s'interroge cependant pas, dans ces travaux, sur la nature de l'incidence des hypothèses initiales sur la performance subséquente dans le diagnostic de l'erreur véritable. Les auteurs avancent que l'hypothèse formulée au départ et la capacité des vérificateurs de passer par la suite à une hypothèse différente interfèrent. Si, par exemple, l'hypothèse initiale était inexacte, il serait difficile pour les vérificateurs de changer d'hypothèse dans le diagnostic de l'erreur véritable. Plus encore, le fait d'invoquer initialement une erreur fréquente exacerberait cette difficulté. L'on a demandé aux vérificateurs‐sujets de produire une hypothèse initiale relative à l'erreur après avoir pris connaissance d'un modèle de fluctuations dans lequel les ventes et les comptes clients étaient surévalués. Une fois formulée leur hypothèse initiale, la moitié des sujets recevaient de l'information supplémentaire révélant l'existence d'une erreur très fréquente (dans la démarcation des ventes) et l'autre moitié recevaient de l'information révélant l'existence d'une erreur peu fréquente (celle de la double comptabilisation d'une même vente). Conformément à leurs prévisions, les auteurs constatent que le fait, pour les vérificateurs, d'invoquer initialement l'erreur très fréquente (soit la démarcation des ventes) par rapport à une autre erreur moins fréquente avait par la suite une incidence sur leur performance dans le diagnostic des erreurs véritables. Plus précisément, les vérificateurs qui invoquaient l'erreur très fréquente dans leur hypothèse initiale obtenaient les meilleurs résultats lorsque cette erreur était l'erreur véritable, mais ils obtenaient les résultats les moins bons lorsque l'erreur peu fréquente se trouvait être l'erreur véritable. Les vérificateurs qui invoquaient une erreur moins fréquente dans leur hypothèse initiale affichaient, pour leur part, une performance relativement bonne (c'est‐à‐dire se situant entre la performance la meilleure et la performance la moins bonne), aussi bien lorsque l'erreur véritable était fréquente que lorsqu'elle était peu fréquente. Les auteurs analysent les conséquences de ces résultats sur l'efficience et l'efficacité de la vérification.