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Air pollution and employee treatment

Journal of Corporate Finance 2021 70, 102067
Although the impacts of air pollution on individual health are well documented, it is unclear whether and how air pollution affects firm strategy on employee treatment. This study examines this issue in the context of China and presents strong evidence that air pollution significantly enhances employee treatment. To establish causality, we further instrument for air pollution using thermal inversions, introduce a regression discontinuity approach relying on the Huai River boundary, and a falsification test. Monetary compensation, safety security, and career training jointly determine our findings. Two plausible mechanisms are corporate brain drain and public attention. Our results are more pronounced for non-state-owned firms, and firms with less financial constraints, intensive R&D or competition, and increased job market opportunities. Overall, we highlight that air pollution is an important noneconomic factor driving firms' human capital and employee treatment strategy.

Trust and innovation: Evidence from CEOs' early-life experience

Journal of Corporate Finance 2021 69, 101984
Using CEOs' early-life experience during China's Cultural Revolution (1966–1976) to distinguish the trust level of CEOs, we employ a difference-in-differences identification strategy to show that the CEO's trust level exhibits significantly positive impacts on corporate innovation. We then use an alternative dataset from the survey of the Chinese Enterprise Survey System in 2000 to measure the trust at the firm level and subsequently achieve highly consistent findings. We further demonstrate that the substitution effect between informal and formal institutions also exists in relation to the impact of trust on innovation. Trust plays a more important role in promoting innovation when formal institutions are lacking. Overall, this study enriches our understanding on the effects of the CEO's trust level on corporate innovation and provides a micro-level evaluation of China's Cultural Revolution in the long run.

Natural disasters and analysts' earnings forecasts

Journal of Corporate Finance 2021 66, 101860
The effects of natural disasters on capital markets have been investigated by limited evidence even though these calamities bring considerable damages or loss of life. To fill this gap, we investigate the impacts of natural disasters, particularly earthquakes, on security analysts' earnings forecasts for affected firms in China. We obtain three key findings. First, analysts' optimism significantly decreases for firms located in neighborhood areas. Second, earthquakes do not significantly affect firm earnings and stock returns, thereby indicating that post-earthquake analyst pessimism is not based on rational judgment. Third, media attention promotes irrational pessimism among analysts, and post-earthquake pessimism is a result of heuristics bias attributable to psychological shocks. However, analysts correct the bias after initial irrational forecasts. Taken together, our findings contribute to the broader psychology and economics literature on the effects of natural disasters on analyst forecasts.