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A cautionary tale of two extremes: The provision of government liquidity support in the banking sector

Journal of Financial Stability 2020 51, 100784
Using U.S. bank holding company data, we study the impact of the crisis liquidity programs initiated by the U.S. Federal Reserve on bank-specific information production. We find empirical evidence that following the receipt of liquidity support there was a pervasive decrease in bank stock price informativeness that increased market synchronicity and crash risk. Our findings further suggest that these effects are mainly driven by bank participation in the Discount Window (DW) and Term Auction Facility (TAF) programs. On the bright side, we confirm that the liquidity programs served their purpose in targeting and supporting illiquid banks with low core stable funding sources through the crisis.

The value of bank capital buffers in maintaining financial system resilience

Journal of Financial Stability 2017 33, 23-40 open access
There is a current controversy concerning the appropriate size of banks’ capital requirements, and the trade-off between the costs and benefits of implementing higher capital requirements. We quantify the size of capital buffers required to reduce system-wide losses using confidential regulatory data for Australian banks from 2002 to 2014 and annual public accounts from 1978 to 2014. We find that a moderate increase in bank capital buffers is sufficient to maintain financial system resilience, even after taking economic downturns into consideration. Furthermore, while banks benefit from paying a lower cost of debt when they have a higher capital buffer, lending volumes are lower indicating that credit supply may be hampered if bank capital levels are too high within a financial system.

The role of macroeconomic news in sovereign CDS markets: Domestic and spillover news effects from the U.S., the Eurozone and China

Journal of Financial Stability 2015 18, 208-224
The impact of domestic and spillover macroeconomic news from the U.S., the Eurozone and China on national sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads and spread volatility are examined over a recent period of financial instability from November 2007 to March 2012. We find that better than expected (i.e. good) news tend to reduce sovereign CDS spreads, whilst worse than expected (i.e. bad) news increases spreads. News from the three major economies has significant spillover effects on other national sovereign CDS markets but the volatility responses to domestic news and foreign news from the major economies differ. CDS spread volatility increases in response to all domestic news and good news tends to exert relatively stronger effects than bad news. In contrast, good news from the major economies is market calming and consistently reduces spread volatility and they are also economically more important than bad news. Bad news from China and the Eurozone generally increase volatility in other sovereign CDS markets but bad news from the U.S. has been calming for other sovereign CDS markets in the extended crisis period from 2007 to 2012. Our results suggest that market participants in the market for sovereign credit protection pay more attention to good news than bad news both at home and from the major economies in times of financial instability.

Global board reforms and corporate acquisition performance

Journal of Corporate Finance 2024 87, 102617 open access
This paper examines the effect of board reforms on corporate acquisition performance using data from 31 countries. Using a difference-in-differences design, we find that the implementation of board reforms in the acquirer's country significantly increases acquirer returns. The increase is driven by reforms involving board independence, but not reforms involving audit committee independence nor the separation of CEO and board chair roles. Further analysis shows that the uplift in acquisition performance following improvements in board independence is strongest in acquirers with more agency problems. The ‘Board reform strengthening’ effect is concentrated in larger acquirers, with more free cash flows, executing large and public-target deals and operating in countries with ex-ante poor investor protection. The empirical evidence indicates that reforming board independence effectively alleviates agency problems between managers and shareholders and improves corporate acquisition performance.

Time-varying market integration and stock and bond return concordance in emerging markets

Journal of Banking & Finance 2009 33(6), 1014-1021
We investigate the extent to which emerging stock market integration affects the joint behavior of stock and bond returns using a two-stage semi-parametric approach. Using a sample of 18 emerging markets, we find an unambiguous and robust link between emerging stock market integration and stock–bond return decoupling. We explain this with a decline in the segmentation risk premia in equities modeled by De Jong and De Roon [De Jong, F., De Roon, F.A., 2005. Time-varying market integration and expected returns in emerging markets. Journal of Financial Economics 78, 583–613] that leads to increased demand for stocks and reduced or unchanged demand for bonds. Our findings deliver new insights into the financial liberalization and stock–bond comovement literatures.

Mind the sovereign ceiling on corporate performance

Journal of Corporate Finance 2022 75, 102253 open access
We find direct evidence that sovereign default risk has a negative impact on corporate performance via a rating spillover pooling mechanism. Our results show that this adverse effect is concentrated in firms that are more likely to experience limited access to external finance following a rating downgrade. Difference-in-differences tests exploiting the heterogeneity in corporate credit ratings following sovereign rating downgrades reveal that firm performance deteriorates predominantly for sovereign bound firms with higher information asymmetry, limited financial flexibility, and those operating in countries with less developed banking systems and weaker investor protection.

Trade reforms and firm value: Worldwide evidence

Journal of Financial Stability 2026 82, 101481 open access
Tariffs are commonly used to protect domestic firms from foreign competition. Using 25 major trade reforms implemented in 17 countries around the world since 1990, we document that firm value significantly increases following reductions in import tariffs. This value enhancement is concentrated in emerging markets and countries with stronger ex-ante competition laws. We identify two channels driving the increase in firm value: an increase in firm efficiency and profit margins due to lower input costs, and an increase in CEO turnover-performance and pay-performance sensitivity driven by increased competition. Overall, our findings underscore the importance of trade liberalization, while also highlighting the critical role of institutional support in fostering competition from foreign firms to stimulate private sector growth.

Creditor-Control Rights and the Nonsynchronicity of Global CDS Markets

The Review of Corporate Finance Studies 2025 14(1), 204-260 open access
We analyze how creditor rights affect the nonsynchronicity of global corporate credit default swap spreads (CDS-NS). CDS-NS is negatively related to the country-level creditor-control rights, especially to the “restrictions on reorganization” component, where creditor-shareholder conflicts are high. The effect is concentrated in firms with high investment intensity, asset growth, information opacity, and risk. Pro-creditor bankruptcy reforms led to a decline in CDS-NS, indicating lower firm-specific idiosyncratic information being priced in credit markets. A strategic-disclosure incentive among debtors avoiding creditor intervention seems more dominant than the disciplining effect, suggesting how strengthening creditor rights affects power rebalancing between creditors and shareholders.

The game changer: Regulatory reform and multiple credit ratings

Journal of Banking & Finance 2021 133, 106279 open access
This paper examines the change in the regulatory use of multiple credit ratings after the Dodd-Frank Act (Dodd-Frank). We find that post Dodd-Frank reform, firms are less likely to demand a third rating (typically from Fitch) for ratings near the high yield (HY) - investment grade (IG) boundary to support their new corporate bond issues. Third ratings also become less informative post Dodd-Frank, with a much weaker market impact on credit spreads for firms with S&P and Moody's ratings on opposite sides of the HY-IG rating boundary. We provide new evidence on the effect of Dodd-Frank in curbing corporate borrowers’ strategic use of multiple credit ratings near this boundary.