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Catch the Thief! Fraud in the U.S. Banking Industry

The Review of Corporate Finance Studies 2025
Little is known about fraud in the financial services sector. Using a rich supervisory data set, this study dissects fraud at large U.S. banking organizations. We find that the impact of fraud extends beyond direct monetary costs. Severe tail fraud events lead banks to significantly reduce loan growth, with effects more pronounced at institutions with weaker capital and liquidity positions. We further document that tail fraud shocks are associated with tighter loan contract terms, even after controlling for borrower risk. These credit supply effects ultimately transmit to the real economy through reduced corporate investment among affected banks’ borrowers. Our analysis provides new detailed evidence on fraud in the U.S. financial services industry and its costs and consequences.

Fraud recovery and the quality of country governance

Journal of Banking & Finance 2018 87, 446-461
Using supervisory data from U.S. financial institutions on fraud-related losses in foreign markets, we find that losses in countries with poor governance have lower recovery rates. Our results are robust to accounting for potential endogeneity and reverse causality concerns, among numerous robustness checks. The association is driven by intuitive governance dimensions such as control of corruption, rule of law, regulatory quality and government effectiveness. In addition, country governance plays a particularly important role in fraud recovery for firms with poor risk management quality. Overall, this paper presents unique and novel evidence tying country governance quality to firm-level risk realizations.

Workforce Policies and Operational Risk: Evidence from U.S. Bank Holding Companies

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2023 58(7), 3085-3120
Using supervisory data on operational losses from large U.S. bank holding companies (BHCs), we show that BHCs with socially responsible workforce policies suffer lower operational losses per dollar of total assets. The association significantly varies by the type of workforce policies and the type of operational losses. It is driven not only by small frequent losses but also by severe tail operational risk events. Further, the risk-reducing effects of the socially responsible workforce policies are stronger for larger BHCs with more employees. Our findings have important implications for banking organization performance, risk, and supervision.

Operational Risk is More Systemic than You Think: Evidence from U.S. Bank Holding Companies

Journal of Banking & Finance 2022 143, 106619
While operational risk is generally perceived as idiosyncratic with limited systemic implications, we document that operational risk threatens financial stability. Using supervisory data on large U.S. Bank Holding Companies (BHCs), we find operational losses increase systemic risk through a direct channel that impairs market values of loss-experiencing BHCs as well as a channel of correlated losses that impact multiple institutions simultaneously. Findings are driven by tail events, more pronounced for systemically important and closer-to-distress BHCs, and vary by business lines, event types, and financial/economic environments. Our results extend the operational and systemic risk literatures and have key policy implications.