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The Influence of Differences in Accounting Policies on Investment Decisions
Accounting choices, Investment decisions, Investors
More on Multidimensional Portfolio Analysis
In response to the suggestions of the editorial and reviewing staff of this journal, some additional explanation and extensions of the model presented in an earlier paper [4] seem desirable at this time. In that paper the investor in securities was assumed to have a utility function that depended on the first n moments of the statistical distribution of returns rather than just on the mean and variance. When the borrowing-lending possibility was introduced as in the Sharpe-Lintner model, the investor's perceived risk premium could be expressed in the higher moments' dimensions as well as in terms of the variance.
Integer Programming in Capital Budgeting: A Note on Computational Experience
Solving capital budgeting problems with linear and integer programming has been part of the finance literature for some time [21, 22, 23, 7, 14, and 18]. Capital budgeting problems have unique properties that distinguish them from other integer linear problems discussed in the mathematical programming literature. Capital budgeting problems generally have the following characteristics: (1) the matrix tends to be rectangular with more variables than constraints; (2) they are all maximization problems with ≤ constraints and nonnegativity conditions in the general form 0≤xi≤1 in the case of linear programming and xi = 0, 1 in the case of integer problems; and (3) there are often mutually exclusive projects among the variables. The purposes of this note are to illustrate some computational experience using existing integer algorithms to solve a set of capital budgeting problems and to begin to catalog the performance of integer codes on financial problems.
Comment: Systematic Risk and the Horizon Problem
The Portfolio Balance Theory of the Expected Rate of Change of Prices: Comment
Journal Article The Portfolio Balance Theory of the Expected Rate of Change of Prices: Comment Get access James H. Scott, Jr. James H. Scott, Jr. University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar The Review of Economic Studies, Volume 40, Issue 4, October 1973, Pages 579–580, https://doi.org/10.2307/2296591 Published: 01 October 1973
Efficient Estimation of the Reduced Form from Incomplete Econometric Models
Journal Article Efficient Estimation of the Reduced Form from Incomplete Econometric Models Get access R. H. Court R. H. Court University of Auckland Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar The Review of Economic Studies, Volume 40, Issue 3, July 1973, Pages 411–417, https://doi.org/10.2307/2296460 Published: 01 July 1973
Experimental Evidence on Combining Cross-Section and Time Series Information
IN recent years several research studies have used a data base consisting of a time series of cross-section samples. A primary reason is that panel data of this type are potentially richer in information than a single cross-section sample. To date, however, the question of how to best analyze data bases of this type has not been fully explored in any of the research. To illustrate, a number of prior research projects which have utilized this type of data base are briefly reviewed. Hoch (1962) used moving cross-section samples as the data base for estimating the parameters of a CobbDouglas production function by analysis of covariance. Specifically the data were collected on 63 Minnesota farms for the years 1946 to 1951. Hoch reported an observed difference between the least squares parameter estimates and covariance estimates and the elasticities developed from these estimates. In terms of method, the major conclusion was that the covariance model might produce less biased elasticities and marginal return estimates. Massy and Frank (1965) investigated the relationship between price changes and dealing activities on a -firm's market share for frequently purchased household and food products. Panel data covering a 101-week time period of family purchase history provided the data base for the study. However, the data were aggregated so no methodological insight could be inferred concerning the question of analyzing time series of cross-section data. Laughhunn and Lyon (1971) applied Bayesian regression in analyzing a time series of cross-section cigarette consumption data using the Tiao and Zellner (1964) approximation method. The primary methodological issue in this research was to observe differences that might exist between classical pooling and the Bayesian regression technique. Comparison of the two techniques revealed very little difference between either parameter estimates or standard errors. Schipper (1964) used covariance regression to analyze a series of cross-section samples (19541957) collected by the Survey Research Center, University of Michigan. The central focus of this study was to analyze consumer discretionary behavior particularly with respect to durable expenditures, short term debt, and discretionary saving. The major methodological finding was that several differences between the covariance regression model and individual cross-section regressions existed. Schipper suggested the individual cross-section analyses might be biased but could not prove this point since he did not use experimental data. Palda and Blair (1970) conducted an analysis of toothpaste demand by using multiple cross sections of data collected by MRCA during the period 1958-1962. One focus of their research was to investigate the potential cross-section specification bias, based on the rationale presented by Simon and Aigner (1970), that can exist because of omitted variables. An interpretation of the results led them to think that the covariance model may reduce the specification bias. This interpretation cannot be considered conclusive since the analysis was not conducted in an experimental framework. Since there is an interest on the part of economic and business researchers to use multiple cross-section sample data, this would appear to be a sufficient reason for evaluating the different methods available for combining and analyzing the samples. Earlier work in this area includes studies by Nerlove (1967, 1968). He assumed models of the form Yit = aYit-l + Uit and Yit = aYit-l + 1-Xit + Uit respectively with Uit = yi + Vit with yi and Vit uncorrelated where =o-2 = 2 +or2. The estimation methods used were OLS, generalized least squares utilizing known p (p = o-A2/o-X2) analysis-of-covariance estimates with cross-sectional effects only, two-round estimates based on an estimated value of p, and maximum likelihood estimates. Generally, Nerlove's findings indicated that generalized least squares (if p is known) produces good esti-
Distortions in Relative Wages and Shifts in the Phillips Curve
T HE micro-economic foundation for most analyses of price and wage decisions is based on the optimizing behavior of familiar objective functions; employers maximizing profit and workers optimizing utility. The functions typically contain variables that measure opportunity cost (the unemployment rate), real income, and price-deflated wages. But neither objective function contains any variable that measures the situation of other actors in the economic system. Behavior in the real world, however, frequently depends on relative wages, profit margins, and so forth. There is a body of literature on the relationship between relative wages and the macro-economic variables of inflation and unemployment. Wachter (1970), finds that low wage workers tend to get relatively larger wage increases in periods of low unemployment, and thus, the interindustry spread among manufacturing wage-rates diminishes with low unemployment and increases with inflation. Wachter deals with the influence of the macro-economic variables on the relative wage structure. number of studies (1962, 1967, 1968, 1969) have been directed to the effect of relative wages on the general wage or price level.1 It is the latter subject that is the primary focus of this paper. Our micro-economic hypothesis is that wage and price behavior is influenced by both general and relative factors. Therefore, we added a measure of the relative wage structure to the typical Phillips curve relationship. This formulation will reflect the idea that under a given set of overall demand conditions, an individual will attempt to obtain a larger wage increase if he feels relatively underpaid. Our second hypothesis is that rapid inflation is unanticipated and leads to the distortions in the relative wage structure. These two hypotheses lead to the following dynamics. given Phillips curve exists at any point in time. If the economy operates at a point of low unemployment and high inflation rates, then distortions are created which move the Phillips curve to the northeast, i.e., the tradeoff is worsened. If the economy operates at a point of high unemployment and low inflation rates then the distortions tend to diminish and the trade-off improves.2 Thus, while a Phillips curve exists, there is only one point on it (i.e., one unemployment and inflation rate) that is stable; moreover, the stable point is determined by the previous historical experience which has created the distortions in the economy. This series of stable points defines a long-run trade-off that is steeper than the shortrun curve but is still less steep than the vertical line hypothesized by the accelerationists. These dynamics suggest that the absence of unanticipated inflation in the early 1960's brought about the stable wage structure of the 1963-1965 period and, with it, the favorable trade-off. The unanticipated inflation of the late sixties, however, again distorted relative wages and produced the worsened trade-off of 1969-1971. The short-term relationships will then take the general form: DP = f (1/U, DST) T ( ) Received for publication May 12, 1972. Revision accepted for publication August 17, 1972. * This work was performed as part of the CED project entitled A Reconsideration of Policies for Economic Stabilization. The authors thank Frank Schiff for his suggestions in the initiation of this work and George Perry, Charles Schultze, Arthur Okun, William Branson, Gary Fromm and the referee for their comments on preliminary drafts. The errors and omissions remain the responsibility of the authors. The views expressed are our own and not necessarily those of the officers, trustees or other members of the Committee for Economic Development. ' See Eckstein and Wilson (1962), Perry (1967, 1968) and Throop (1968). 2 One of the factors that gives an inflationary bias to our economy is the asymmetrical nature of the distortion process; that is, larger than average wage increases cause the distortion and the return to the normal structure is also achieved by larger than average increases.
Common Property, Congestion, and Environmental Pollution
Journal Article Common Property, Congestion, and Environmental Pollution Get access Robert H. Haveman Robert H. Haveman University of Wisconsin Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Volume 87, Issue 2, May 1973, Pages 278–287, https://doi.org/10.2307/1882188 Published: 01 May 1973