We analyze how firms manage their financial flexibility conditional on the expected probability of recession. Using an ex ante measure of future recession, we find that, in the aggregate, firms do not appear to prepare. However, a closer analysis reveals a more nuanced relation. The lack of preparation in aggregate is driven by firms that may be unable to prepare: financially constrained and cash poor firms. We find some evidence that firms able to prepare, unconstrained and cash rich firms, may prepare for future recessions.

We provide empirical evidence on the conjecture that in economic crises, firms could be forced to sell at deep discounts, or fire sale prices. Using the conventional stock price near the announcement date, we find instead distressed firms in crisis periods receive a 30% higher offer premium than distressed firms in normal periods; they also receive a 34% higher premium than non-distressed firms in crisis periods. Acquirers also do not gain, at announcement and over the long-term. Acquirers, however, may perceive they realize fire sale discounts if the reference is the targets’ highest price in the previous 52weeks.

Using data for six Asian miracle economies over the period from 1953 to 2006, this paper examines the extent to which growth has been driven by R&D and tests which second-generation endogenous growth model is most consistent with the data. The results give strong support to Schumpeterian growth theory but only limited support to semi-endogenous growth theory. Furthermore, it is shown that R&D has played a key role for growth in the Asian miracle economies.