To make high-quality research more accessible and easier to explore.

Fields:
21 results

Macroeconomic shocks and banking supervision

Journal of Financial Stability 2004 1(1), 93-110
We build a simple model of banking in the presence of macroeconomic shocks where the comparative roles of private and public monitors can be analyzed. This model provides endogenous justifications for prudential regulation (capital requirements) and emergency liquidity assistance by the Central Bank (lender of last resort). We show that market discipline can be helpful, but does not solve the fundamental problem of regulatory forbearance. We propose some directions of reform of the regulatory system that could improve the management of banking crises.

Dynamics of Innovation and Risk

Review of Financial Studies 2015 28(5), 1353-1380
We study the dynamics of an innovative industry in which agents learn about the likelihood of negative shocks. Managers can exert risk prevention effort to mitigate the consequences of shocks. If no shock occurs, confidence improves, attracting managers to the innovative sector. But, when confidence becomes high, inefficient managers exerting low risk-prevention effort also enter. This stimulates growth, while reducing risk prevention. The longer the boom, the larger the losses if a shock occurs. Although these dynamics arise in the first-best, asymmetric information generates excessive entry of inefficient managers, earning informational rents, inflating the innovative sector, and increasing its vulnerability.

Ironing, Sweeping, and Multidimensional Screening

Econometrica 1998 66(4), 783
The authors provide existence proofs and characterization results for the multidimensional version of the multiproduct monopolist problem of M. Mussa and S, Rosen (1978). These results a are also directly applicable to the multidimensional nonlinear pricing problems studied by R. Wilson (1993) and M. Armstrong (1996). The authors establish that bunching is robust in these multidimensional screening problems, even with very regular distributions of types. They consequently design a new technique, the sweeping procedure, for dealing with bunching in multidimensional contexts. This technique extends the ironing procedure of Mussa and Rosen to several dimensions.

Multiproduct Duopolists

Econometrica 1989 57(3), 533
The authors study a differentiated industry in which two firms compete by offering intervals of qualities to heterogenous consumers. They establish conditions which, for perfect competition and monopoly, imply that different consumers choose different qualities. Under these conditions, they show existence and essential uniqueness of a price equilibrium. At all price equilibria in which both firms make a positive profit, discrimination of consumers is incomplete. The authors also discuss the choice of product lines, and show that the Chamberlinian incentive to differentiate its products from those of its competitor dominates for intermediate qualities.

Nonlinear Pricing with Random Participation

Review of Economic Studies 2002 69(1), 277-311
The canonical selection contracting programme takes the agent's participation decision as deterministic and finds the optimal contract, typically satisfying this constraint for the worst type. Upon weakening this assumption of known reservation values by introducing independent randomness into the agents' outside options, we find that some of the received wisdom from mechanism design and nonlinear pricing is not robust and the richer model which allows for stochastic participation affords a more general empirical specification. We develop a multidimensional methodology for addressing this class of problems, providing two important applications to nonlinear pricing. First, with nonlinear pricing by a monopolist the familiar “nodistortion-at-the-top” result persists, but in tandem with the surprising conclusion that there is either no distortion at the bottom or bunching. Second, in a simple model of product differentiated duopolists competing with nonlinear pricing we show that, generally, the duopoly outcome is qualitatively similar to the monopoly outcome. However, when marginal costs are symmetric and competition is sufficiently intense, distortions disappear and the equilibrium outcome takes a remarkably simple form: efficient quality allocations with cost-plus-fee pricing.

Liquidity management and corporate demand for hedging and insurance

Journal of Financial Intermediation 2011 20(3), 303-323 open access
We analyze the demand for hedging and insurance by a firm facing cash-flow risks. We study how the firm’s liquidity management policy interacts with two types of risk: a Brownian risk that can be hedged through a financial derivative, and a Poisson risk that can be insured by an insurance contract. We find that the patterns of insurance and hedging decisions are pole apart: cash-poor firms should hedge but not insure, whereas the opposite is true for cash-rich firms. We also find non-monotonic effects of profitability. This may explain the mixed findings of empirical studies on corporate demand for hedging and insurance.

The three pillars of Basel II: optimizing the mix

Journal of Financial Intermediation 2004 13(2), 132-155
The on-going reform of the Basel Accord relies on three “pillars”: a new capital adequacy requirement, supervisory review and market discipline. This article develops a simple continuous-time model of commercial banks' behavior where interaction between these three instruments can be analyzed. We study the conditions under which market discipline can reduce the minimum capital requirements needed to prevent moral hazard. We also discuss regulatory forbearance issues.

Dynamics of Innovation and Risk

Review of Financial Studies 2015 28(5), 1353-1380 open access
We study the dynamics of an innovative industry when agents learn about its strength, i.e., the likelihood that it gets hit by negative shocks. Managers can exert risk-prevention effort to mitigate the consequences of such shocks. As time goes by, if no shock occurs, confidence improves. This attracts managers to the innovative sector. But, when confidence becomes high, less managers exerting low risk-prevention effort also enter. This accelerates the growth of the industry, while inducing a decline in risk-prevention. The longer the boom, the stronger the confidence, the larger the losses if a shock occurs. While the above dynamics arise in the first best, with asymmetric information there is excessive entry of inefficient managers, earning informational rents at the expense of efficient managers. This inflates the innovative sector and increases its vulnerability.

Rethinking the regulatory treatment of securitization

Journal of Financial Stability 2014 10, 20-31 open access
In a model where banks play an active role in monitoring borrowers, we analyze the impact of securitization on bankers’ incentives across different macroeconomic scenarios. We show that securitization can be part of the optimal financing scheme for banks, provided banks retain an equity tranche in the sold loans to maintain proper incentives. In economic downturns however securitization should be restricted. The implementation of the optimal solvency scheme is achieved by setting appropriate capital charges through a form of capital insurance, protecting the value of bank capital in downturns, while providing additional liquidity in upturns.