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Tests of the Relations Among Marketwide Factors, Firm-Specific Variables, and Stock Returns Using a Conditional Asset Pricing Model.

Journal of Finance 1996 51(5), 1891-1908
In this article, the authors generalize C. Harvey's (1989) empirical specification of conditional asset pricing models to allow for both time-varying covariances between stock returns and marketwide factors and time-varying reward-to-covariabilities. The model is then applied to examine the effects of firm size and book-to-market equity ratios. The authors find that the traditional asset pricing model with commonly used factors can only explain a small portion of the stock returns predicted by firm size and book-to-market equity ratios. The results indicate that allowing time-varying covariances and time-varying reward-to-covariabilities does little to salvage the traditional asset pricing models. Coauthors are Raymond Kan, Lilian Ng, and Chu Zhang.

The Foreign Exchange Exposure of Japanese Multinational Corporations

Journal of Finance 1998 53(2), 733-753
We find that about 25 percent of our sample of 171 Japanese multinationals' stock returns experienced economically significant positive exposure effects for the period January 1979 to December 1993. The extent to which a firm is exposed to exchange-rate fluctuations can be explained by the level of its export ratio and by variables that are proxies for its hedging needs. Highly leveraged firms, or firms with low liquidity, tend to have smaller exposures. Foreign exposure is found to increase with firm size. We also find that keiretsu multinationals are more exposed to exchange-rate risk than nonkeiretsu firms.

A Variance-Ratio Test of Random Walks in Foreign Exchange Rates.

Journal of Finance 1991 46(2), 773-85
The separate variance-ratio tests under homoscedasticity and heteroscedasticity both provide evidence rejecting the random walk hypothesis using five pairs of weekly nominal exchange rate series over the period from August 7, 1974, to March 29, 1989. The rejections cast doubt on the random walk hypothesis in exchange rates, which has received support in the existing literature. Furthermore, since the rejections are robust to heteroscedasticity, they suggest autocorrelations of weekly increments in the nominal exchange rate series, which may be consistent with the exchange rate overshooting or undershooting phenomenon.

Matching in Housing Markets

Review of Financial Studies 2019 32(10), 3958-4004
[This paper investigates the role of ethnic matching between buyers and sellers in Singapore’s public housing market. We find that sellers sell homes in blocks with a high concentration of their own (other) ethnic group (s) at significant premiums (discounts). Chinese sellers earn 1.7% higher premiums when selling homes to Chinese buyers in high Chinese concentrations housing blocks, but Malay sellers accept 1.6% discounts from Malay buyers in the same blocks. We find that the high volume of within-ethnicity transactions with the price discounts is supported by the ethnic social networks, that is, through ethnicity-specialized real estate agents.]

One-Time Cash Flow Announcements and Free Cash-Flow Theory: Share Repurchases and Special Dividends.

Journal of Finance 1992 47(5), 1963-75
The leading explanation for the positive price response surrounding tender offer share repurchase and specially designated dividend (SDD) announcements is the information signaling hypothesis. This paper reexamines these announcements to determine if Jensen's free cash-flow theory also has explanatory power. Lang and Litzenberger's (1989) findings suggest an important role for the free cash-flow theory in explaining the market's reaction to dividend changes. In contrast, they find the market's reaction to share repurchases and SDDs is approximately the same for both high-Q and low-Q firms. They thus have an empirical puzzle: If Jensen's free cash-flow theory applies to dividend changes, it is difficult to see why it does not also apply to the analogous events examined here.

A Variance-Ratio Test of Random Walks in Foreign Exchange Rates

Journal of Finance 1991 46(2), 773
The separate variance-ratio tests under homoscedasticity and heteroscedasticity both provide evidence rejecting the random walk hypothesis, using five pairs of weekly nominal exchange rate series over the period from August 7, 1974 to March 29, 1989. The rejections cast doubt on the random walk hypothesis in exchange rates, which has received support in the existing literature. Furthermore, since the rejections are robust to heteroscedasticity, they suggest autocorelations of weekly increments in the nominal exchange rate series, which may be consistent with the exchange rate overshooting or undershooting phenomenon.

A Variance‐Ratio Test of Random Walks in Foreign Exchange Rates

Journal of Finance 1991 46(2), 773-785
The separate variance‐ratio tests under homoscedasticity and heteroscedasticity both provide evidence rejecting the random walk hypothesis, using five pairs of weekly nominal exchange rate series over the period from August 7, 1974 to March 29, 1989. The rejections cast doubt on the random walk hypothesis in exchange rates, which has received support in the existing literature. Furthermore, since the rejections are robust to heteroscedasticity, they suggest autocorelations of weekly increments in the nominal exchange rate series, which may be consistent with the exchange rate overshooting or undershooting phenomenon.

Asset Pricing Specification Errors and Performance Evaluation

Review of Finance 1999 3(2), 205-232
Many evaluation techniques typically measure performance as deviations of average returns on actively managed funds from those predicted by some asset pricing model. Empirical evidence, however, has so far suggested that all asset pricing models lack empirical support, implying that the models contain mis-specification errors to various degrees. Evaluating mutual fund performance relative to any of these models thus becomes problematic. In this paper, we propose an approach to performance measurement that emphasizes minimizing explicitly the pricing error associated with an asset pricing function which is employed to compute performance measures. This approach is henceforth called the minimum specification-error (MSE) method. We also discuss the statistical properties for implementing MSE performance measure. To demonstrate the significance of the pricing error confounded in evaluation measurement, we contrast our methodology with the Grinblatt and Titman (1989) period weighting approach and with the empirical implementation of Chen and Knez (1996). We find that the greater the pricing error of passive assets, the larger the performance measures. Given the average pricing error generated from a collection of 163 diverse passive portfolios used in this analysis the performance values assigned to a large number of the funds become statistically and economically insignificant.

One‐Time Cash Flow Announcements and Free Cash‐Flow Theory: Share Repurchases and Special Dividends

Journal of Finance 1992 47(5), 1963-1975
The leading explanation for the positive price response surrounding tender offer share repurchase and specially designated dividend (SDD) announcements is the information signaling hypothesis. This paper reexamines these announcements to determine if Jensen's free cash‐flow theory also has explanatory power. Lang and Litzenberger's (1989) findings suggest an important role for the free cash‐flow theory in explaining the market's reaction to dividend changes. In contrast, we find the market's reaction to share repurchases and SDDs is approximately the same for both high‐Q and low‐Q firms. We thus have an empirical puzzle: If Jensen's free cash‐flow theory applies to dividend changes, it is difficult to see why it does not also apply to the analogous events examined here.