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Institutional Quality and Economic Crises: Legal Origin Theory versus Colonial Strategy Theory

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2010 92(1), 173-179
In a natural experiment among former colonies between 1970 and 1999, weak institutions reflected in high settler mortality and French legal origin often increase the likelihood and intensity of local currency and real crises (i.e., those resulting in a drop in real output) amid six global crises. The effects of institutions on crises are often mediated through macroeconomic policies, but they are often not primary channels. Persistent institutions (i.e., those reflected in the legal origins and settler mortality) predict the occurrence and intensity of crises better than time-varying institutions do.

ISDS disputes, adjudication and cross-border M&As

Journal of Corporate Finance 2024 87, 102594
ISDS claims are associated with reductions in the likelihood, frequency, and dollar volume of M&As from claimant home countries to respondent states. The host-state expropriation events underlying ISDS claims show no significant effects. The impact of ISDS claims remains after including traditional country risk metrics. Thus, ISDS claims play a unique role in guiding international investment. They prompt foreign acquirers to adopt risk-avoiding strategies, which affect various deal characteristics. We detect strong substantiation effects of investor-win cases and some acquittal effects of state-win cases. The ISDS claims related to direct expropriations and strong-institution respondent states typically produce more striking effects.

Does regulatory reform of cumulative voting promote a more balanced power distribution in the boardroom?

Journal of Corporate Finance 2020 64, 101655
In the presence of dominant shareholders, it remains uncertain whether the introduction of cumulative voting (CV) in board elections can elevate board representation of non-controlling substantial shareholders and curb the expropriation of minority shareholders by dominant shareholders. With hand-collected director-level data, we conduct DID-style analysis of China's CV reform. We find that non-controlling substantial shareholders cooperated in voting to raise their board representation, and CV implementation curbed tunneling activities and enhanced firm value. The results are especially strong in a subsample of firms whose second largest shareholder has a sufficiently large ownership proportion to elect her/his favored candidates onto boards.

Shadow banking of non-financial firms: Arbitrage between formal and informal credit markets in China

Journal of Financial Intermediation 2023 55, 101032
In China's credit markets with financial repression, state-controlled non-financial firms (SOEs) are privileged in gaining access to bank credit, while non-SOEs, especially those small- and medium-sized firms, are disadvantaged. Corporate re-lending emerges as a response wherein the former secure bank loans and then re-lend to the latter. We document the characteristics of inter-corporate loans from a sample of legal cases. We employ four empirical strategies to conduct a forensic study of re-lending by detecting abnormal relations between financial accounts of listed firms. State-controlled companies conduct more re-lending, and firms with better growth opportunities, stronger corporate governance, and more financial constraints engage less. We compare re-lending with entrusted loans and find that firms extending nonaffiliated entrusted loans conduct re-lending actively, while firms offering affiliated entrusted loans do not. We also compare inter-corporate loans with micro-credit company loans in a review of legal cases.