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A perfect storm in the financial market

Journal of Financial Stability 2022 61, 101034
This study provides a model explaining how small changes in asset prices may disrupt an entire financial market. Based on the capital asset pricing model (CAPM), our model implies that during a market crash, asset price changes affect the relative distribution of the CAPM betas of individual assets and force all tradable assets to co-move. Using US stock market data, our empirical results are consistent with the model’s predictions. Overall, the study aids understanding of the price patterns of assets during substantial market downturns, such as financial crises.

Blessing or curse? Institutional investment in leveraged ETFs

Journal of Banking & Finance 2021 129, 106169
We document the increasing role leveraged exchange traded funds (ETFs) play in institutional portfolios over time. A subset of independent investment advisors, quasi-indexers, and transient portfolio managers all make substantive use of these tools. Leveraged ETFs can be used for diversification or to implement strategic bets. Empirical tests suggest that institutional holders of leveraged ETFs predict weak portfolio performance in aggregate, consistent with manager hubris, especially among the set of institutional managers most likely to lack management skill. Interestingly, managers appear to reduce positions in leveraged ETFs following good past performance, potentially to lock in good returns, consistent with compensation-based incentives.