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Determinants of risk in the banking sector during the European Financial Crisis

Journal of Financial Stability 2017 33, 285-296
Risk assessment in the banking sector has been a prominent topic in the banking literature and has gained attention especially since the recent financial crises. In particular, the European crisis, which was the first since the formation of the Eurozone, underlined a number of significant problems and increased concerns on the tail or crash risk of banks. In the present study, we seek to examine whether information asymmetry, the importance of banks in the financial system and systemic risk play significant roles in the evolution of stock crashes in the banking sector. Information asymmetry is proxied by opacity, the importance of a bank in a financial network is proxied by network centrality, and systemic risk is proxied by clustering. The research framework considers a number of regulatory, reporting and financial market factors that have also been determined to relate to stock crashes and shows that all of the above factors are related to (idiosyncratic) stock crash risk under specific conditions.

The impact of the EU/ECB/IMF bailout programs on the financial and real sectors of the ASE during the Greek sovereign crisis

Journal of Banking & Finance 2015 50, 440-454
Using a broad set of news reports about the Greek sovereign crisis, we tested for the impact of the troika bailout programs on the banking, financial, and real economic sectors of the Athens Stock Exchange (ASE). Our results reveal that the troika’s actions caused a shift in the systematic risk of firms in all sectors, suggesting that these actions failed to prevent the financial crisis from turning into a real crisis. The actions of the Greek Government only significantly increased the systematic risk for value banking stocks, most likely because established banking firms in Greece hold large amounts of Greek sovereign debt. We also discuss the implications of our findings.