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Corporate bond clawbacks as contingent capital for banks

Journal of Financial Stability 2018 37, 11-24
We propose a contingent clawback bond (COCLA) as an alternative source of contingent convertible capital (CoCo). We develop a utility maximization model in which a bank manager faces the following two trade-offs: one trade-off is between the private benefits of control and costs of financial distress when loans under-perform, and the other is between the costs and benefits of screening loan credit quality (effort). In our model, the supply of loans, amount of junior debt issued, level of effort exerted by a manager, and manager's decision to exercise the clawback option are endogenously determined in the maximization of the manager's utility function. We find that the manager optimally exercises the clawback following a low realization of cash flows, thereby solving the trigger problem presented in CoCos. In the model, the debt to equity conversion from the COCLA is an endogenous decision, the regulatory capital adequacy ratio (CAR) is satisfied, and the bank does not face distress costs. From a practical perspective, the conversion rate for the COCLA that jointly maximizes the manager's expected utility and stock holders’ pay offs is around 25%, a rate close to the typical percentage (30%–35%) that is often found in initial public offering clawback (IPOC) contracts used in the corporate world.

Regulations, profitability, and risk-adjusted returns of European insurers: An empirical investigation

Journal of Financial Stability 2015 18, 55-77
This study examines the effect of regulations on European insurers’ profitability and risk-adjusted returns. We find an inverted U-shaped relationship between return on assets and regulations relating to capital adequacy, accounting and auditing requirements, and disclosures to supervisors. In contrast, requirements related to technical provisions have a negative effect on return on assets, and we find no evidence of an association with regulations related to investment and supervisory power. We also find evidence of an inverted U-shaped relationship between a firm's risk-adjusted rate of return and regulations relating to capital requirements as well as corporate governance and internal control. We observe the opposite in the case of technical provisions. These results are robust to controls for various country-specific attributes such as macroeconomic environment, stock market development, overall quality of institutions, and legal origins.

Explicit deposit insurance design: International effects on bank lending during the global financial crisis✰

Journal of Financial Intermediation 2022 51, 100958
Studies find that during the 2007–2009 global financial crisis, loan spreads rose and corporate lending tightened, especially for foreign borrowers (a flight-home effect). We find that banks in countries with explicit deposit insurance (DI) made smaller reductions in total lending and foreign lending, experienced smaller increases in loan spreads, and had quicker post-crisis recoveries. These effects are more pronounced for banks heavily relying on deposit funding. Evidence also reveals that more generous or credible DI design is associated with a stronger stabilization effect on bank lending during the crisis, confirmed by the difference-in-differences analysis based on expansion of DI coverage during the crisis. The stabilization effect is robust to the use of country-specific crisis measures and control of temporary government guarantees.

Do social networks encourage risk-taking? Evidence from bank CEOs

Journal of Financial Stability 2020 46, 100708
This paper investigates the effects of CEO’s social network on bank risk-taking. We document a positive relation between bank CEO’s social connections and bank risks. To address the endogeneity concerns, we use deaths and retirements within networks to perform a difference-in-difference analysis, and find robust results. We also report that well-connected bank CEOs take more risk when more of their social ties are linked to informationally opaque firms and when the labor market offers fewer employment options. In addition, diversity of social ties (professional and educational) helps to mitigate the impact on risk. Finally, this study reveals an inefficient trade-off between bank risk and return, suggesting that executive social networks lead to excessive bank risk.

Retail payments and the real economy

Journal of Financial Stability 2019 44, 100690
This study investigates how retail payment methods affect aggregate macroeconomic activity. By tracing the relative norms and practices of paper-based payment instruments (checks) and electronic payment methods (payment cards, credit transfers and direct debits) in 27 European Union member countries, the paper reports that a higher penetration ratio of electronic payment methods is generally associated with greater GDP, trade, consumption and tax revenue. The 2008 financial crisis and a country’s shadow economy level have an incremental impact on the relationship between payment methods and economy. The study also finds substitution effects between paper-based and electronic payment methods and complementary effects across electronic payment methods. The findings are robust after controlling for endogeneity. Our study supports policies promoting further repositioning and transfer to efficient electronic payment instruments.

Senior debt and market discipline: Evidence from bank-to-bank loans

Journal of Banking & Finance 2019 98, 170-182
We empirically investigate whether taking senior bank loans would enhance market discipline and control risk-taking among borrowing banks. Controlling for endogeneity concern arising from borrowing bank self-select into taking senior bank debt, we document that both the spreads and covenants in loan contracts are sensitive to bank risk variables. Our analysis also reveals that borrowing banks reduce their risk exposure after their first issuance of senior bank debt. We also find that lending banks significantly increase their collaboration with borrowing banks and increase their presence in the home markets of borrowing banks.

Financial analysts' career concerns and the cost of private debt

Journal of Corporate Finance 2021 67, 101868 open access
Career-concerned analysts are averse to firm risk. Not only does higher firm risk require more effort to analyze the firm, thus constraining analysts' ability to earn more remuneration through covering more firms, but it also jeopardizes their research quality and career advancement. As such, career concerns incentivize analysts to pressure firms to undertake risk-management activities, thus leading to a lower cost of debt. Consistent with our hypothesis, we find a negative association between analyst career concerns and bank loan spreads. In addition, our mediation analysis suggests that this association is achieved through the channel of reducing firm risk. Additional tests suggest that the effect of analyst career concerns on loan spreads is more pronounced for firms with higher analyst coverage. Our study is the first to identify the demand for risk management as a key channel through which analysts help reduce the cost of debt.

Enforcement of banking regulation and the cost of borrowing

Journal of Banking & Finance 2019 101, 147-160
We show that borrowing firms benefit substantially from important enforcement actions issued on U.S. banks for safety and soundness reasons. Using hand-collected data on such actions from the main three U.S. regulators and syndicated loan deals over the years 1997–2014, we find that enforcement actions decrease the total cost of borrowing by approximately 22 basis points (or $4.6 million interest for the average loan). We attribute our finding to a competition-reputation effect that works over and above the lower risk of punished banks post-enforcement and survives in a number of sensitivity tests. We also find that this effect persists for approximately four years post-enforcement.