To make high-quality research more accessible and easier to explore.

Fields:

The Present Value Model of Stock Prices: Regression Tests and Monte Carlo Results

The Review of Economics and Statistics 1985 67(4), 599 open access
The variance bounds tests of the present value model of stock prices are re-examined in this paper.A direct test of the model based on ordinary least squares estimation of a simple regression equation is proposed as an alternative and it is shown that this regression approach has several advantages over the variance bounds tests.This test is easily adapted to the important case in which the percentage changes in real dividends and real stock prices are stationary pro- cesses.The t*ests are applied to quarterly data for the Standard & Poor's Index of 500 Common Stocks and tJie results are much more > conclusive than those obtained by previous tests.