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Determinants of global loan pricing: Creditor rights or country size?

Journal of Financial Stability 2025 78, 101396 open access
Using global data on syndicated loans, we show that any negative effect of stronger creditor rights on loan spreads, as identified in the prior literature (Qian and Strahan, 2007; Bae and Goyal, 2009), disappears once we include a single country characteristic: country size. This finding is robust to several identification methods, both global samples and within-country changes in creditor rights, different panel spans, and hundreds of control variables. We identify that key origins of the effect of country size on loan pricing are ethnic fractionalization and within-country heterogeneity in economic preferences, which create country risk.

Blessing or curse? Government funding of deposit insurance and corporate lending

Journal of Financial Stability 2022 61, 101022
A key policy to limit the possibility of bank runs is an explicit deposit insurance scheme, which can be either privately or government funded. Using syndicated loans from 63 countries during the period 1985–2016, we study the effect of government involvement in deposit insurance funding on price and non-price characteristics of loans. We show that changes from purely private-funded to either government-funded or jointly funded deposit insurance increase all-in-spread-drawn by approximately 4.6 %, further increase loan fees, decrease loan maturity, and increase the use of performance pricing provisions. Our findings are consistent with the moral hazard problem behind government-funded deposit insurance schemes.

Who lends to riskier and lower-profitability firms? Evidence from the syndicated loan market

Journal of Banking & Finance 2015 61, S14-S21
This paper exploits a unique data set on bank–firm relationships based on syndicated loan deals to examine the effect of banks’ credit risk and capital on firms’ risk and performance. Our data set is a multilevel cross-section, which essentially allows controlling for all bank and firm characteristics through respective fixed effects, thus avoiding concerns regarding omitted variables. We find that banks with higher credit risk are associated with more risky firms, with lower profitability and market value. In turn, we find that banks with higher risk-weighted capital ratios lend to riskier firms with less market value. Our results are indicative of a strong adverse selection mechanism and highlight the need to monitor the risky banks more closely, especially as we consider large and influential syndicated loan deals.

Mortgage loan demand and banks’ operational efficiency

Journal of Financial Stability 2021 53, 100851
Using data for 6740 U.S. banks from 1996 to 2016, we consider whether mortgage loan demand is a key determinant of banks’ cost efficiency and management quality. We estimate mortgage loan demand from loan-level applications at individual banks, and we estimate bank efficiency and management quality score from banks’ structural models. In line with theoretical considerations around economies of scale, our results show that loan amount demand improves cost efficiency, but the number of loan applications reduces cost efficiency. In contrast, mortgage loan demand has an economically less significant effect on management quality score. We also find that loan demand is an important factor in shaping banks’ loan quality, above and beyond operational efficiency.

Credit and entrepreneurs’ income

Journal of Financial Intermediation 2025 63, 101161 open access
Small business entrepreneurs facing credit constraints may experience significantly different future income trajectories compared to their unconstrained counterparts. We quantify this difference using uniquely detailed loan application data and a regression discontinuity design based on a bank’s credit score cutoff rule employed in the loan approval process. Our findings indicate that loan acceptance increases recipients’ real income by 11% five years later compared to rejected applicants. This effect persists across a wide range of robustness tests and is primarily driven by the utilization of borrowed funds for profitable investments, as captured by the bank’s ex-ante soft information and the ex-post firm performance. Additionally, within the cohort of accepted applicants, future income is higher for those who were easily accepted compared to marginally accepted borrowers with similar creditworthiness, highlighting the important efficiency effects of loan usage.

Corporate taxes and entrepreneurs' income: A credit channel

Journal of Corporate Finance 2025 93, 102805 open access
Corporate taxation can have redistributive effects on income and wealth. We hypothesize and empirically establish such an effect working via bank credit. We use a unique sample of small majority-owned firms that apply for credit, where only some firms (treated) experience a corporate tax cut. We show that after the decrease in corporate tax rates, the treated poorer business owners get easier access to credit. However, this policy also considerably increases loan amounts and decreases loan spreads for the treated richer. Ultimately, reducing the corporate tax rate predominantly increases the future income and wealth of richer business owners.

Poverty and seeking bank advice: Evidence from a survey experiment

Journal of Financial Stability 2023 67, 101156
Access to banking services for the poorest individuals is key to reducing their vulnerability, but are poor people likely to seek help from bank advisors? This study tests the hypothesis that poor peoples’ financial concerns affect their willingness to seek professional financial advice from banks. A survey experiment is run by performing “hard priming” (a €2000 car repair expense) on a treatment group and “soft priming” (a €200 expense) on a control group. Overall, hard priming triggers higher positive intention to consult a bank advisor. However, poverty sharply and negatively moderates this effect. For respondents below the poverty line, the priming effect is close to significantly negative and becomes such when restricting the sample to individuals who responded before their payday rather than after it. Hard priming also decreases poor people’s self-reported trust in banks, and this variable mediates the negative effect on intention to consult a bank advisor. There is no evidence that a lack of financial literacy or actual financial distress influence the priming effects.

Accounting quality in banking: The role of regulatory interventions

Journal of Banking & Finance 2018 97, 297-317
Using the full sample of U.S. banks and hand-collected data on enforcement actions over 2000–2014, we analyze the role of these interventions in promoting several aspects of accounting quality. We find that enforcement actions issued for both risk-related and accounting-related reasons lead to significant improvements in accounting quality. This improvement is consistently found for earnings smoothing, big-bath accounting, timely recognition of future loan losses, the association of loan loss provisions with future loan charge offs, loss avoidance, and cash flow predictability and earnings persistence. Most of the effects are somewhat more potent in the crisis period and survive in several sensitivity tests. Our findings highlight the imperative role of regulatory interventions in promoting bank accounting quality.

Economic preferences for risk-taking and financing costs

Journal of Corporate Finance 2023 80, 102423 open access
We hypothesize and empirically establish that economic preferences for risk-taking in different subnational regions affect firm financing costs. We study this hypothesis by hand-matching firms' regions worldwide with the corresponding regional economic risk-taking preferences. We first show that higher regional risk-taking is positively associated with several measures of firm risk and investments. Subsequently, our baseline results show that credit and bond pricing increase when risk-taking preferences increase. For the loan of average size and maturity a one-standard-deviation increase in regional risk-taking increases interest expense by $0.54 million USD. We also find that these results are demand (firm)-driven and stronger for firms with more local shareholders.

Gender, Credit, and Firm Outcomes

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2022 57(1), 359-389 open access
Small and micro-enterprises are usually majority-owned by entrepreneurs. Using a unique sample of loan applications from such firms, we study the role of owners’ gender in bank credit decisions and post-credit-decision firm outcomes. We find that, ceteris paribus, female entrepreneurs are more prudent loan applicants than are males because they are less likely to apply for credit or to default after loan origination. The relatively more aggressive behavior of male applicants pays off, however, in terms of higher average firm performance after loan origination.