To make high-quality research more accessible and easier to explore.

Fields:
15 results

Inflation Announcements and Financial Market Reaction: Evidence From the Long-Term Bond Market

The Review of Economics and Statistics 1986 68(2), 329
Relations between business margins and structural variables including buyer and seller concentrations have been examined using data on strategic business units in the PIMS data base. The results are compared with earlier work based on industry classified data. It is now possible to identify whether the observed changes in margin are due to direct effects on profit or to changes in the fixed costs included in gross margins. New data are presented on the role of capacity utilisation in relation to the balance of buyer and seller power and on changes in margin through the life cycle.

Asset Returns, Discount Rate Changes, and Market Efficiency

Journal of Finance 1985 40(4), 1141-1158 open access
The primary purpose of this paper is to reconcile the previous findings of discount rate endogeneity with the presence of discount rate announcement effects in securities markets. The crux of this reconciliation is the distinction between “technical” discount rate changes that are endogenous and “nontechnical” changes which contain some informative policy implications. In essence, we attempt to separate expected discount rate changes from unexpected changes, or equivalently, the expected component of discount rate changes from the unexpected component. If markets are efficient, the former should have no announcement effects while the latter may be associated with an announcement effect. Accordingly, the focus of the empirical analysis is on the interaction between discount rate exogeneity, the specific monetary policy regime, and accouncement effects. In addition, we examine whether the behavior of these markets in the postannouncement period is consistent with the rapid price adjustment implied by market efficiency.

Asset Returns, Discount Rate Changes, and Market Efficiency

Journal of Finance 1985 40(4), 1141
The primary purpose of this paper is to reconcile the previous findings of discount rate endogeneity with the presence of discount rate announcement effects in securities markets. The crux of this reconciliation is the distinction between “technical” discount rate changes that are endogenous and “nontechnical” changes which contain some informative policy implications. In essence, we attempt to separate expected discount rate changes from unexpected changes, or equivalently, the expected component of discount rate changes from the unexpected component. If markets are efficient, the former should have no announcement effects while the latter may be associated with an announcement effect. Accordingly, the focus of the empirical analysis is on the interaction between discount rate exogeneity, the specific monetary policy regime, and accouncement effects. In addition, we examine whether the behavior of these markets in the postannouncement period is consistent with the rapid price adjustment implied by market efficiency.

Day-of-the-week and intraday effects in stock returns

Journal of Financial Economics 1986 17(1), 197-210
This study examines day-of-the-week effects using hourly values of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. We find that over the 1963–1983 period the weekend effect has sifted from characterizing active trading on Monday to characterizing the non-trading weekend. Over the early part of our sample period negative returns characterize each hour of trading on Monday, while the return from Friday close to Monday open is positive. In the most recent subperiod, Monday average hourly returns after noon are all positive and the weekend effect is due to negative average returns from Friday close to Monday open.