Female-headed families have among the highest poverty rates of any major demographic group in the United States. The purpose of this paperis to investigate empirically the effectiveness of current child-support enforcement policies and to determine their role in reducing poverty and welfare dependency. A special supplement to the April 1982 Current Population Survey provides the data for the analysis. The results indicate that child support enforce-ment may represent an effective means for re-ducing welfare program costs but isunlikely to have a dramatic effect on either welfare de-pendency or poverty.

This paper presents an empirical analysis of the effect of child support enforcement policies on poverty and welfare dependency among female-headed families. A special supplement to the April 1982 Current Population Survey provides the data for the analysis. The results suggest that child support enforcement may represent an effective means for reducing welfare program costs, but is unlikely to have a dramatic effect on reducing either poverty or welfare dependency.

This paper presents an empirical analysis of how job search requirements under various government programs influence job search behavior. The analysis indicates that job search requirements exert a significant impact on certain aspects of the job search process, but not those that generally lead to a higher probability of employment. It is also found that persons who utilize intensively search activities that result in direct employer contact have much shorter durations of unemployment than persons who do not utilize such activities intensively. It is speculated that altering job search requirements to include more direct employer contact could lead to a significant reduction in unemployment.

Nancy Brandon Tuma, Philip K. Robins, A Dynamic Model of Employment Behavior: An Application to the Seattle and Denver Income Maintenance Experiments, Econometrica, Vol. 48, No. 4 (May, 1980), pp. 1031-1052

This paper examines how four components of the job search process--the choice of search methods, the choice of how many firms to contact, the rate at which offers are received, and the acceptance or rejection of an offer--influence the job-finding rate. A reduced-form model of job search is estimated that takes account of the fact that users of a particular method of job search are not a random subset of all searchers. The empirical analysis focuses on differences in search behavior between the employed and unemployed. A key finding of the analysis is that the offer rate per contact is greater for employed searchers than for unemployed searchers. This may be due to differences in the effectiveness of search while employed versus unemployed or to unobserved differences in search effort. Further research on this issue is needed because many models of job search behavior are based on the assumption that job search is more effective when one is unemployed.

Previous static analyses of the work disincentive effects of welfare programs are extended to a dynamic context. Using a sample of continuous longitudinal labor market histories, estimates are derived for welfare-nonwelfare differences in labor market flows among the states of employment, unemployment, and nonparticipation. The estimates are used to identify the main sources of the lower employment and labor force participation rates and higher unemployment rate of welfare recipients. The findings indicate that welfare programs have substantial effects on virtually every labor market transition examined but that the primary source of the static work disincentive effect is slower entry into employment.

This paper analyzes changes in child-care arrangements of a sample of children from the Youth Cohort of the National Longitudinal Surveys over the first three years of life. The analysis indicates that turnover in child-care arrangements is surprisingly low among this sample and is more common among families of higher socioeconomic status. Child-care turnover is positively correlated with mothers' employment turnover, but is not correlated with changes in mothers' marital status or additional births. Turnover in child-care arrangements is highly correlated over time, due mainly to the effects of observed variables and unobserved characteristics of the mothers.