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What do market participants learn from share repurchases? Evidence from a return decomposition

Journal of Corporate Finance 2023 82, 102451 open access
This paper analyzes cash flow and cost of capital dynamics around share repurchase announcements of publicly traded US firms by decomposing stock returns into news related to cash flows and discount rates. After repurchase announcements, the cost of capital decreases significantly, while cash flows do not change. The decrease in the cost of capital is largest for firms that appear underpriced. These firms also experience the highest long-term returns after repurchase announcements. The findings suggest that market participants learn about a temporary overestimation of the cost of capital when firms announce share repurchases.

Industry asset revaluations around public and private acquisitions

Journal of Financial Economics 2023 147(1), 243-269
Revaluations of industry peers around horizontal acquisitions are negative when targets are private, but positive when they are public. We posit this “revaluation spread” arises because acquiring managers favor private targets when public firms are overvalued. Targets’ ownership status thus conveys information about industry assets’ misvaluation and triggers predictable revaluations. Supporting this idea, private acquisitions occur when private targets appear “cheaper” than public firms based on valuation multiples or the trading activity of industry insiders. The revaluation spread varies with overall market misvaluation, predicts future industry returns, and is unrelated to peers’ and industries’ fundamentals.