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Institutions and Corporate Investment: Evidence from Investment-Implied Return on Capital in China

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2011 46(6), 1831-1863
We assess the impact of institutions on Chinese firms’ corporate investment in an investment Euler equation framework. We allow the variables measuring institutions to affect the rate at which firm managers discount future investment payoffs. Applying generalized method of moments estimators to large samples of Chinese firms, we estimate the stochastic discount rates derived from actual investment and examine how they vary across institutional variables. We document robust evidence that ownership is the primary institutional factor affecting corporate investment in China. The derived discount rate for a nonstate firm is approximately 10 percentage points higher than that of an otherwise equal state firm. State firms tend to use higher discount rates to invest after they are partially privatized. We also find that firms with higher levels of corporate governance use higher discount rates to make investment.

Corporate governance and earnings management in the Chinese listed companies: A tunneling perspective

Journal of Corporate Finance 2007 13(5), 881-906
This paper examines the relation between earnings management and corporate governance in China by introducing a tunneling perspective. We document systematic differences in earnings management across the universe of China's listed companies during 1999–2005, and empirically demonstrate that firms with higher corporate governance levels have lower levels of earnings management. We study two China-specific situations, in which the listed firms have strong incentives to manage earnings in order to meet certain return on equity (ROE) thresholds, and earnings management has been shown to be the most conspicuous. We identify tunneling evidence for each. Our empirical findings, although not being able to completely exclude other explanations, strongly suggest that agency conflicts between controlling shareholders and minority investors account for a significant portion of earnings management in China's listed firms.

Stock trading, information production, and executive incentives

Journal of Corporate Finance 2008 14(4), 484-498 open access
This paper investigates the effect of stock market microstructure on managerial compensation schemes. We propose and empirically demonstrate that the sensitivity of chief executive officer's (CEO's) compensations to changes in stockholders' value is higher when the stock market facilitates the production and aggregation of private or public information. Using stock trading data and analysts' earnings forecast data, we construct five different measures of the information content in stock prices. These measures, separately and jointly, account for the cross-sectional variations in CEO pay-performance sensitivity well. Our results are robust to the choice of samples, incentive measures, model specifications, and estimation methods. We extend the analysis to non-CEO executives and executive teams and find similar results.

Good finance, bad finance, and resource misallocation: Evidence from China

Journal of Banking & Finance 2024 159, 107078
Using city-level data from China, we find that the overall size of finance does not affect the extent of resource misallocation. However, when finance is decomposed into different parts, we find that local government-driven finance backed by the revenues from land sales exacerbates the misallocation problem, while the remaining part of finance, which is more likely market-driven, significantly improves allocative efficiency. We use the instrumental variable approach to establish causality. Further evidence shows that local government-driven finance lowers allocative efficiency by facilitating the allocation of resources to the low-productivity state sector, but non-local government-driven finance reduces the extent of such distortions. Our analyses suggest that identifying the sources of financial assets and, more broadly, distinguishing between good finance and bad finance are critical to develop a socially desirable financial system.

Predicting Stock Market Returns with Aggregate Discretionary Accruals

Journal of Accounting Research 2010 48(4), 815-858
We find that the positive relation between aggregate accruals and one‐year‐ahead market returns documented in Hirshleifer, Hou, and Teoh [2009] is driven by discretionary accruals but not normal accruals. The return forecasting power of aggregate discretionary accruals is robust to choices of sample periods, return measurements, estimation methods, business condition and risk premium proxies, and accrual models used to isolate discretionary accruals. Our extensive analysis shows that aggregate discretionary accruals, in sharp contrast to aggregate normal accruals, contain little information about overall business conditions or aggregate cash flows and display little co‐movement with ICAPM‐motivated risk premium proxies. Our findings imply that aggregate discretionary accruals likely reflect aggregate fluctuations in earnings management, thereby favoring the behavioral explanation that managers time aggregate equity markets to report earnings.

The Sarbanes-Oxley act and corporate investment: A structural assessment☆

Journal of Financial Economics 2010 96(2), 291-305 open access
We assess the impact of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 on corporate investment in an investment Euler equation framework. We allow a dummy for the passage of the Act to affect the rate at which managers discount future investment payoffs. Using generalized method of moments estimators, we find that the rate U.S. firm managers apply to discount investment projects rises significantly after 2002, while the discount rate for U.K. firms remains unchanged. The effects of the legislation on corporate investment are asymmetric, and are much more significant among relatively small firms. We also find that well-governed firms, firms with a credit rating, and accelerated filers of Section 404 of the Act have become more cautious about investment.