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Internet finance development and banking market discipline: Evidence from China

Journal of Financial Stability 2016 22, 88-100
Depositor discipline is the only viable and universal source of banking market discipline in China. This paper investigates whether the depositor discipline of banking works in the context of an emerging economy under financial repression and implicit government guarantee, such as the Chinese economy; how banking market discipline is affected by Internet finance development; and whether the impact of Internet finance development on market discipline changes across heterogeneous banks. The results suggest that, in general, measures of bank risk are negatively associated with the growth of deposit volumes. Internet finance development alters the sensitivity of deposit growth ratios to some bank risk measures. For non-state-owned banks, fewer measures of bank risk are significantly negatively associated with the growth of deposit volumes, and the attenuation impact of Internet finance development on market discipline for bank capitalization instead relatively increases. For large banks, market discipline works significantly, except in the case of the bank capitalization variable; moreover, these significant market disciplines are strengthened with the development of Internet finance.

An empirical study of bank stress testing for auto loans

Journal of Financial Stability 2018 39, 79-89
We present an empirical study of stress testing for portfolios of auto loans. We find that loans aged five years or more have significantly higher default probabilities. This finding raises concerns about the increasing maturity of auto loans in recent years. A challenge in stress testing is the instability of the estimated coefficient of macroeconomic variables, which raises questions on the reliability of stress test results. For this reason, it is important for model developers to perform sensitivity analyses and make conservative adjustment to minimize model risk.

Judicial independence and corporate innovation: Evidence from the establishment of circuit courts

Journal of Corporate Finance 2023 80, 102424
This study explores the effects of judicial independence on corporate innovation by analyzing the staggered establishment of Circuit Courts in China. We find that introducing Circuit Courts increases corporate innovation, particularly for central state-owned enterprises and private firms. Channel analysis shows that Circuit Courts significantly reduce local judicial protectionism, ease financial constraints, and improve corporate governance, which stimulates innovation. The positive effects of Circuit Courts are more pronounced in cities facing severe political intervention, regions with weak legal environments, and private firms without political or banking connections. Our results are robust to endogeneity concerns, alternative measures and specification models. Overall, this study supports the theoretical arguments that institutions matter and that improvements in judicial quality boost firms' incentives to innovate.

Bank competition and corporate employment: Evidence from the geographic distribution of bank branches in China

Journal of Banking & Finance 2023 154, 106964
Using the geographic location data of 218,554 commercial bank branches in China, we find that an increasing number of bank branches in the vicinity of enterprises, namely bank competition, leads to higher corporate employment, particularly for non-SOEs and SOEs with less government influence. Channel analyses reveal that better access to banking facilitates information extraction and eases credit constraints for surrounding firms, which thus increases labor investment. In addition, fintech development moderates the positive effect of bank competition on corporate employment. An exogenous policy shock as well as two instrumental variables, are used to correct for endogeneity and our results remain consistent. The findings are also robust to alternative samples, proxies, and different fixed effects. Further analyses show that bank competition improves firms’ labor investment efficiency and upgrades their employment structures. Lastly, increased employment improves the firm performance of non-SOEs.