Richard C. K. Burdekin, Paul Burkett, A Re-Examination of the Monetary Model of Exchange Market Pressure: Canada, 1963-1988, The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 72, No. 4 (Nov., 1990), pp. 677-681

Inflation Is Always and Everywhere a Monetary Phenomenon: Richmond vs. Houston in 1864 by Richard C. K. Burdekin and Marc D. Weidenmier. Published in volume 91, issue 5, pages 1621-1630 of American Economic Review, December 2001

This paper examines the differential between the share prices of Chinese securities traded on their home market of Shanghai versus prices observed offshore in New York and Hong Kong. The discounts attached to Chinese securities, whether trading as ADRs on the NYSE or as H-shares on the Hong Kong market, appear to have been significantly influenced by changes in both exchange rate expectations and investor sentiment during 1998–2006. Expected exchange rate changes alone account for approximately 40% of the total variation in each case. This is combined with large cross-sectional variation, however, reflecting additional significant market-wide and company-specific sentiment effects.

Although it has been well established that financial volatility is related to news and macroeconomic shocks, less emphasis has been placed on the importance of underlying economic and political stability. In this paper we study the behavior of consol returns since 1729 and identify a greater-than-50% decline in volatility from the end of the Napoleonic Wars in 1815 until the First World War. News events and macroeconomic variables cannot account for this extended period of reduced volatility. Underlying political stability under Pax Britannica seems to be a more likely explanation.