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Potential Disruption from the Move to a Consumption Tax
Irving Fisher's Self-Stabilizing Money
Macro Theory and the Recession of 1990-1991
Fluctuations in Equilibrium Unemployment
Is Unemployment a Macroeconomic Problem?
The Importance of Lifetime Jobs in the U.S. Economy
Stabilization Policy and Capital Formation
The Relation between Price and Marginal Cost in U.S. Industry
An examination of data on output and labor input reveals that some U.S. industries have marginal cost well below price. The conclusion rests on the finding that cyclical variations in labor input are small compared with variations in output. In booms, firms produce substantially more output and sell it for a price that exceeds the costs of the added inputs. The paper documents the disparity between price and marginal cost, where marginal cost is estimated from annual variations in cost. It considers a variety of explanations of the findings that are consistent with competition, but none is found to be completely plausible.
Intertemporal Substitution in Consumption
One of the important determinants of the response of saving and consumption to the real interest rate is the elasticity of intertemporal substitution. That elasticity can be measured by the response of the rate of change of consumption to changes in the expected real interest rated. A detailed study of data for the twentieth-century United States shows no strong evidence that the elasticity of intertemporal substitution is positive. Earlier findings of substantially positive elasticities are reversed when appropriate estimation methods are used.