A Note on Interpreting "Incremental Information Content"
[This note examines the term "incremental information content," considers the most informative composition of income to include only components that are valued by investors, and determines the preferred level of disaggregation. The most common analysis in studies of incremental information content is to examine the coefficients from a regression of market-adjusted security returns for a 12-month period on the unexpected portion of two or more accounting income variables. A nonzero coefficient on one accounting variable is interpreted as evidence that the variable has information content that is "incremental" to the other variables in the equation. The accounting interpretation of this result in terms of the composition or disclosure of income depends on the other independent (conditioning) variables included in the estimated relation. Therefore, the interpretation of results beyond a statistical statement that one variable has information content incremental to another depends on the specification of the regression equation that is estimated. Results presented in two previous studies (Rayburn 1986; Bowen et al. 1987) are reviewed and extended from the perspective of the composition and disclosure of income. Taken together, the tests based on data reported in those two studies provide consistent and strong evidence that both cash flow and accrual components add to the informativeness of income. However data from Bowen et al. provide only weak evidence that current accrual and cash flow components of income are valued differently by investors, and similar tests based on Rayburn's data fail to reject the hypothesis that cash flows and current accruals are valued equivalently by the market. These results indicate that more research is needed on this issue.]