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On the characteristics and performance of long-short, market-neutral and bear mutual funds

Journal of Banking & Finance 2011 35(7), 1762-1776
We evaluate the return performance of long-short, market-neutral and bear mutual funds using multi-factor models and a conditional CAPM that allows for time-varying risk. Differences in the bearish posture of these mutual funds result in different performance characteristics. Returns to long-short mutual funds vary with the market, returns to market-neutral mutual funds are uncorrelated with the market and returns to bear mutual funds are negatively correlated. Using the conditional CAPM we document significant changes in the market-risk exposure of the most bearish of these funds during different economic climates. We then assess the flow-performance relationship for up to 60months following up and down markets and find that investors direct flows towards market-neutral and bearish funds for several months after down markets. Market-neutral funds provide a down market hedge, but bear funds do not generate the returns that investors hope for.

On the measurement of Tobin's q

Journal of Financial Economics 1997 44(1), 77-122
We examine the methods commonly employed to estimate Tobin's q ratios and find them to be flawed in design and arbitrary in implementation. We propose an alternative procedure which is both simpler and more accurate. The key to the procedure is an improved measure of fixed asset replacement costs, through the proper identification of the vintages of fixed assets that are in place for a firm. Application of this procedure to a large sample of nonfinancial corporations indicates that existing methods generally produce downward-biased measures of q and can result in errors in the ordering of firms by their q's.

Momentum Trading by Institutions

Journal of Finance 2002 57(6), 2449-2478
We document the equity trading practices of approximately 1,200 institutions from the third quarter of 1987 through the third quarter of 1995. We decompose trading by institutions into the initiation of new positions (entry), the termination of previous positions (exit), and adjustments to ongoing holdings. Institutions act as momentum traders when they enter stocks but as contrarian traders when they exit or make adjustments to ongoing holdings. We find significant differences in trading practices among different types of institutions.

Evidence on Tax‐Motivated Securities Trading Behavior

Journal of Finance 1991 46(1), 369-382
Tax‐loss selling by investors in common stocks near the end of calendar years has been proposed as an explanation for the turn‐of‐the‐year effect in stock returns. Past analyses of this hypothesis have relied on inferential data. We provide here some direct data from a compilation of over 80,000 actual common stock investment round trips by a sample of 3000 individual investors. We find strong evidence of a concentration of loss‐taking trades late in the year and milder evidence of a concentration just prior to the dates when investments become eligible for long‐term tax treatment.

Evidence on Tax-Motivated Securities Trading Behavior

Journal of Finance 1991 46(1), 369
Tax-loss selling by investors in common stocks near the end of calendar years has been proposed as an explanation for the turn-of-the-year effect in stock returns. Past analyses of this hypothesis have relied on inferential data. We provide here some direct data from a compilation of over 80,000 actual common stock investment round trips by a sample of 3000 individual investors. We find strong evidence of a concentration of loss-taking trades late in the year and milder evidence of a concentration just prior to the dates when investments become eligible for long-term tax treatment.

Evidence on Tax-Motivated Securities Trading Behavior.

Journal of Finance 1991 46(1), 369-82
Tax-loss selling by investors in common stocks near the end of calendar years has been proposed as an explanation for the turn-of-the-year effect in stock returns. Past analyses of this hypothesis have relied on inferential data. The authors provide here some direct data from a compilation of over 80,000 actual common stock investment round trips by a sample of 3,000 individual investors. The authors find strong evidence of a concentration of loss-taking trades late in the year and milder evidence of a concentration just prior to the dates when investments become eligible for long-term tax treatment.

Of Shepherds, Sheep, and the Cross-autocorrelations in Equity Returns

Review of Financial Studies 1995 8(2), 401-430
[We present an economic mechanism and supportive empirical evidence for the transmission of information between equity securities first documented by Lo and MacKinlay (1990). It is argued that the past returns on stocks held by informed institutional traders will be positively correlated with the contemporaneous returns on stocks held by noninstitutional uninformed traders. Evidence consistent with this hypothesis is then presented. We document that the returns on the portfolio of stocks with the highest level of institutional ownership lead the returns on portfolios of stocks with lower levels of institutional ownership. This effect persists even after firm size is controlled for and is apparent at longer lags than the size-related lag effects documented in Lo and MacKinlay (1990).]

Of Shepherds, Sheep, and the Cross-autocorrelations in Equity Returns

Review of Financial Studies 1995 8(2), 401-430
We present an economic mechanism and supportive empirical evidence for the transmission of information between equity securities first documented by Lo and MacKinlay (1990). It is argued that the past returns on stocks held by informed institutional traders will be positively correlated with the contemporaneous returns on stocks held by noninstitutional uninformed traders. Evidence consistent with this hypothesis is then presented. We document that the returns on the portfolio of stocks with the highest level of institutional ownership lead the returns on portfolios of stocks with lower levels of institutional ownership. This effect persists even after firm size is controlled for and is apparent at longer lags than the size-related lag effects documented in Lo and MacKinlay (1990).