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Investment, cash flow, and corporate hedging

Journal of Corporate Finance 2005 11(4), 628-644
We examine the underinvestment rationale for corporate hedging and test the hypothesis that if firms hedge to reduce both their reliance on external funds and the volatility of internal cash flow, then their investment spending should be less sensitive to prehedged cash flow. Our results are consistent with this hypothesis and indicate that investment spending is less sensitive to cash flow for hedgers than for nonhedgers. We also find that among hedgers, investment spending is less sensitive to cash flow when the extent of hedging is higher. Our results are generally robust to five different measures of cash flow.

Interest-rate uncertainty, derivatives usage, and loan growth in bank holding companies

Journal of Financial Stability 2014 15, 230-240 open access
We explore one channel through which interest-rate derivatives usage affects loan growth positively in bank holding companies (BHCs). If interest-rate derivatives usage allows a BHC to substitute more freely among sources of funds, then its reliance on less interest-rate-sensitive sources such as core deposits should be lower. We test the hypothesis that if BHCs use interest-rate derivatives to reduce the adverse effects of interest-rate uncertainty on lending, then their loan growth should be less sensitive to core deposit growth. We find that loan growth is less sensitive to core deposit growth for interest-rate derivatives users than for non-users and that this sensitivity is lower when the extent of derivatives usage is higher. One important implication is that the funding flexibility enjoyed by BHCs using interest-rate derivatives should allow these BHCs to provide a smoother and higher level of intermediation, leading to more stable loan growth and greater economic stability.

CEO overconfidence and dividend policy

Journal of Financial Intermediation 2013 22(3), 440-463
We develop a model of the dynamic interaction between CEO overconfidence and dividend policy. The model shows that an overconfident CEO views external financing as costly and hence builds financial slack for future investment needs by lowering the current dividend payout. Consistent with the main prediction, we find that the level of dividend payout is about one-sixth lower in firms managed by CEOs who are more likely to be overconfident. We document that this reduction in dividends associated with CEO overconfidence is greater in firms with lower growth opportunities and lower cash flow. We also show that the magnitude of the positive market reaction to a dividend-increase announcement is higher for firms with greater uncertainty about CEO overconfidence.

Do CEO beliefs affect corporate cash holdings?

Journal of Corporate Finance 2021 67, 101886
We develop a model of corporate cash holdings that incorporates CEO beliefs. An optimistic CEO views external financing as excessively costly but expects this cost to moderate over time. The optimistic CEO thus delays external financing while funding current investments with existing cash and maintaining a lower cash balance than rational CEOs. We find that, relative to rational CEOs, optimistic CEOs hold 24% less cash, hold lower cash to fund the firms' growth opportunities, and save less cash out of incremental cash flow.

Informed short selling around SEO announcements

Journal of Corporate Finance 2017 46, 121-138
While much of the prior research on short selling around announcements of seasoned equity offerings (SEOs) has focused on manipulation, it is unclear whether there is also informed short selling around these announcements. We test for informed short selling around SEO announcements by examining the relation between i) pre-announcement short selling and the announcement-period return and ii) changes in short interest around the SEO announcement and the long-term operating and stock price performance following the equity issue. We find that firms with large increases in short interest prior to the SEO announcement exhibit lower (i.e., more negative) announcement-period returns, and that firms with large increases in short interest around the SEO announcement experience inferior long-term operating and stock price performance following the equity issue. We also find that the negative relation between large increases in short interest and long-term operating and stock price performance is more pronounced among shelf offers. This result highlights the informational role of short sellers in identifying opportunistic market timers of equity issues among shelf filers. Our overall results indicate the presence of informed short selling around SEO announcements.