To make high-quality research more accessible and easier to explore.

Fields:
2 results ✕ Clear filters

Short-Term Reversals and Longer-Term Momentum around the World: Theory and Evidence

Review of Financial Studies 2025 38(12), 3673-3728
Stock returns exhibit reversals at short horizons but slowly transition to momentum over longer horizons. To help understand this pattern, we develop a multiperiod model with short- and long-horizon noise traders, and active investors who underreact to information they do not themselves produce. The model accords with the transition from reversals to momentum and yields the following novel predictions: (a) attenuated reversals after earnings announcements, (b) a negative relation between monthly reversal and longer-term momentum profits across economies and time, and (c) larger reversals when there is more noise trading. Empirical analysis using U.S. and international data supports these predictions.

Swimming Upstream: Struggling Firms in Corrupt Cities

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2025 60(7), 3311-3343 open access
We find that a corrupt local environment amplifies the effects of financial distress. Following regional spikes in financial misconduct, credit becomes more difficult to obtain for local borrowers—even those not implicated themselves. This is particularly harmful for cash-constrained firms, which cut investment more sharply and lay off more workers during industry downturns. We also find that local clustering of financial misconduct is a risk factor for bankruptcy.