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Residential Buildings and the Cost of Construction: New Evidence on the Efficiency of the Housing Market

The Review of Economics and Statistics 1999 81(2), 288-302
Present value studies of asset market efficiency are controversial because they compare asset prices to unobserved discounted streams of future rents. As an alternative, if housing markets are efficient, then the price of residential capital or buildings should satisfy the following two conditions: (i) deviations between new building prices and construction costs should disappear faster than construction lags and have no effect on construction, and (ii) temporary building price shocks should dissipate at a similar rate for different vintage buildings. Results from an error-correction model support both hypotheses for single-family housing in Vancouver, British Columbia. This implies that the implicit market for residential buildings is efficient and that any inefficiencies in the housing market must lie in the market for land itself.

Are Private Markets and Filtering a Viable Source of Low-Income Housing? Estimates from a “Repeat Income” Model

American Economic Review 2014 104(2), 687-706 open access
While filtering has long been considered the primary mechanism by which markets supply low-income housing, direct estimates of that process have been absent. This has contributed to doubts about the viability of markets and to misplaced policy. I fill this gap by estimating a “repeat income” model using 1985–2011 panel data. Real annual filtering rates are faster for rental housing (2.5 percent) than owner-occupied (0.5 percent), vary inversely with the income elasticity of demand and house price inflation, and are sensitive to tenure transitions as homes age. For most locations, filtering is robust which lends support for housing voucher programs.

Female Entrepreneurship, Agglomeration, and a New Spatial Mismatch

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2012 94(3), 764-788
Female entrepreneurs may be less networked than their male counterparts and so derive less benefit from agglomeration. They may also have greater domestic burdens and therefore have higher commuting costs. This paper develops a theoretical model showing that either of these forces can lead to the segregation of male- and female-owned businesses, with female entrepreneurs choosing locations farther from agglomerations and commuting shorter distances. Empirical analysis is consistent with these predictions. Female-owned businesses are segregated, often to a degree similar to black-white residential segregation. Female-owned enterprises are less exposed to agglomeration, with 10% to 20% less own-industry employment nearby.

Agglomeration and Hours Worked

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2008 90(1), 105-118
This paper establishes the existence of a previously overlooked relationship between agglomeration and hours worked. Among nonprofessionals, hours worked decrease with the density of workers in the same occupation. Among professionals, the relationship is positive. This relationship is stronger for the young than for the middle-aged. Moreover, young professional hours worked are especially sensitive to the presence of rivals. The paper shows that these patterns are consistent with the selection of hard workers into cities and with the high productivity of agglomerated labor. The behavior of young professionals is also consistent with the presence of keen rivalry in larger markets, a kind of urban rat race.

Quality of the Business Environment Versus Quality of Life: Do Firms and Households Like the Same Cities?

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2004 86(1), 438-444
This paper develops a new measure of the quality of business environment that complements existing measures of the quality of life. An annual panel of these measures is constructed and analyzed for 37 cities from 1977 to 1995. Findings indicate that many cities attractive to firms are unattractive to households, and vice versa. In addition, the size of a city's workforce increases with improvements in the quality of the business environment. In contrast, cities most likely to be dominated by retirees are those that are less attractive to firms. Additional specifications support theoretical arguments that retirees are drawn to cities in which local attributes are capitalized into lower wages rather than higher rents.

Geography, Industrial Organization, and Agglomeration

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2003 85(2), 377-393
This paper makes two contributions to the empirical literature on agglomeration economies. First, the paper uses a unique and rich database in conjunction with mapping software to measure the geographic extent of agglomerative externalities. Previous papers have been forced to assume that agglomeration economies are club goods that operate at a metropolitan scale. Second, the paper tests for the existence of organizational agglomeration economies of the kind studied qualitatively by Saxenian (1994). This is a potentially important source of increasing returns that previous empirical work has not considered. Results indicate that localization economies attenuate rapidly and that industrial organization affects the benefits of agglomeration.

Capital Gains Taxation and the Demand for Owner-Occupied Housing

The Review of Economics and Statistics 1990 72(1), 45
Previous studies of owner-occupied housing typically ignore the taxation of capital gains because homeowners do not pay a capital gains tax if they buy up when they move. However, the capital gains tax code introduces a kink into the budget constraint of most previous homeowners, causing previous owners to face a different price of housing depending on whether they buy up or down. We control for the kinked budget constraint within a maximum likelihood model of owner-occupied housing demand. Results indicate that failure to model the capital gains tax provisions leads to inefficient estimates of the elasticities of demand. However, controlling for the kink did not lead to statistically different coefficient estimates relative to a linear budget constraint model.

Household Location and Race: Estimates of a Multinomial Logit Model

The Review of Economics and Statistics 1989 71(2), 240
A multinomial logit model of household location choice, in which families choose from a number of mutually exclusive residential location, is estimated. Regression results indicate that the locational choices of white and black households are importantly, but differently, affected by their socioeconomic characteristics; in that regard, black suburbanization patterns are little influenced by large simulated changes in household characteristics. Findings suggest that policies which focus on the educational and earnings opportunities of blacks would likely be largely ineffectual in fostering the integration of predominantly white suburban communities.

Borrowing Constraints, Household Debt, and Racial Discrimination in Loan Markets

Journal of Financial Intermediation 1993 3(1), 77-103
Two-step selection methods are applied to the 1983 Survey of Consumer Finances to examine the extent to which borrowing constraints restrict household access to debt and the manner in which lenders vary debt limits across borrowers. Results indicate that 30% of young families are credit constrained, and that roughly half of these families would hold at least $12,000 (1982 dollars) more debt if borrowing constraints were relaxed. Debt limits increase with income and wealth, and are relaxed for families with a good credit history. In addition, minorities face tighter debt limits and are more likely to be credit constrained than white families. Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: E51, J71, D12.

Property Tax Capitalization in a Model with Tax-Deferred Assets, Standard Deductions, and the Taxation of Nominal Interest

The Review of Economics and Statistics 1999 81(1), 85-95
Previous property tax capitalization studies assume that families itemize, that they save in taxable assets, and that real interest income is taxed. However, many families do not itemize, many families invest in tax-deferred assets, and nominal interest income is taxed. As a consequence, prior studies likely misspecify the property tax capitalization equation for roughly ninety percent of their samples. Taking federal tax provisions into account increases the precision of our estimated capitalization rate. In addition, our results suggest that biases in prior studies likely contribute to the variety of capitalization estimates in the literature.