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Owner-Occupied Housing as a Hedge Against Rent Risk

Quarterly Journal of Economics 2005 120(2), 763-789 open access
Many people assume that the most significant risk in the housing market is that homeowners are exposed to fluctuations in house values. However, homeownership also provides a hedge against fluctuations in future rent payments. This paper finds that, even though house price risk endogenously increases with rent risk, the latter empirically dominates for most households -so housing market risk actually increases homeownership rates and house prices.