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Algos gone wild: What drives the extreme order cancellation rates in modern markets?

Journal of Banking & Finance 2021 129, 106170 open access
97% of orders in US stock markets are cancelled before they trade, straining market infrastructure and raising concerns about predatory or manipulative trading. To understand the drivers of these extreme cancellation rates, we develop a simple model of liquidity provision and find that growth in order-to-trade ratios (OTTRs) is driven by fragmentation of trading and technological improvements that lower monitoring costs. High OTTRs occur legitimately in stocks with high volatility, fragmented trading, small tick sizes, and low volume. OTTRs are usually within levels consistent with market making, but occasionally spike to levels that may indicate illegitimate trading such as spoofing.

The Active World of Passive Investing

Review of Finance 2021 25(5), 1433-1471
We investigate the new reality of exchange-traded funds (ETFs). We show that most ETFs are active investments in form (designed to generate alpha) or function (serve as building blocks of active portfolios). We define a new activeness index to capture these dimensions, finding that the cross-section of ETFs is now increasingly characterized by highly active investment vehicles. Active-in-form ETFs have positive flow-performance sensitivity, charge the highest fees among ETFs, and have high within-portfolio turnover. Active-in-function ETFs have more concentrated holdings, less within-portfolio turnover, but higher turnover in the secondary market. We show how more active ETFs are gaining market share over less active ETFs, leading to competitive fee pressure both within the ETF space and across the investment management industry. We suggest that the growing activeness of ETFs may assuage concerns about ETFs harming price discovery.