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Involuntary Unemployment and Implicit Contracts

Quarterly Journal of Economics 1983 98, 107
This paper provides an explanation of involuntary umemployment arising as a consequence of asymmetric information between firms and workers. Involuntary unemployment is defined as a situation where ex post gains to trade exist. A model of labor contracts is developed where the allocations are not ex post optimal. It is shown that inferiority of leisure is a necessary and sufficient condition for the existence of involuntary unemployment.

On Bond Ratings and Pension Obligations: A Note

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 1983 18(4), 463
Financial analysts have been intrigued by bond ratings since John Moody first started publishing them in 1909. Bond ratings are assigned by three agencies (Moody's, Standard and Poor's (S&P), and Fitch); these ratings are widely publicized and are, therefore, critically important. A bond's rating affects investors' purchase decisions and, consequently, the issuing firm's cost of debt and, indirectly, its cost of equity.

Equilibrium Trajectories of Economic Growth

Econometrica 1983 51(3), 693
THIS PAPER BELONGS to that part of economic dynamics of which the consumption turnpike theorems are typical results. However, rather than the usual formulation of the problem as a mathematical programming problem, we study it in the framework of dynamic equilibrium models which were first studied in [9]. In [9] we considered finite equilibrium trajectories for which the technology as well as demand functions were assumed constant in time. Here a more general model will be described. It permits changing technology and demand functions and pays more attention to the exploration of the asymptotic properties of infinite trajectories. We define the class of efficient equilibrium trajectories and prove that, under certain conditions, infinite trajectories in this class converge to each other. Finite trajectories (which are always efficient) may differ essentially from them only at the beginning and at the end of the planning period. For a stationary model a strong turnpike theorem follows from these considerations. It is shown that nonefficient equilibrium trajectories are characterized by fast growth of prices and high levels of production. At the same time, the consumption, as a rule, goes to zero. Here we present conditions which imply the uniqueness of efficient trajectories and the absence of nonefficient ones. For the special case in which the equilibrium model is equivalent to an optimization model, efficient equilibrium trajectories are strongly optimal.