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The Balanced-Budget Multiplier: A Suggestion for A More General Formulation

The Review of Economics and Statistics 1957 39(2), 225
$20,000 there has been only a moderate loss, with the group from $io,ooo to $20,000 gaining as much relatively as the group from $5,000 to $Io,000. Some evidence has also been presented indicating that people in the income range from $5,000 to $I4,000 would have received from I4 to i8 per cent more income in I949 had their income-determining characteristics been valued as highly in I949 as they were in I929, but that such quantitative statements could not be made for people in groups outside this range because they would have come from diverse income classes.

Unemployment Conditions and Movements of the Money Wage Level

The Review of Economics and Statistics 1963 45(2), 163 open access
In both the United States and the United Kingdom the economics literature of recent years has been replete with discussions of the compatibility of price level stability and high employment. Interest in this broad subject has in turn stimulated renewed interest in movements of money wage levels, and particularly in the set of relationships between unemployment conditions and money wage levels. The general relevance of this type of empirical research for the "cost inflation" controversy and for the formulation of stabilization policies has been discussed at length elsewhere and so will not be considered in detail here. The main objectives of the present paper are fourfold: (1) to clarify the nature and significance of recurrent procedural problems involved in attempts to relate wage behavior to unemployment conditions, especially when only annual data are available; (2) to set forth statistical results obtained for the United States economy for the period 1900-1958 taken as a whole and for various sub-periods, with the level of unemployment and changes in the level of unemployment used as the main explanatory variables; (3) to consider in some detail the a priori basis for expecting a relationship between the rate of change of money wages and one particular explanatory variablechanges in the level of unemployment; and (4) to make some admittedly rough comparisons between the American results and the British results.