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Patent quality, firm value, and investor underreaction: Evidence from patent examiner busyness

Journal of Financial Economics 2022 143(3), 1043-1069
This paper attempts to study the causal effect of examiner busyness on patent quality and firm value. Using a broad set of patent quality measures, we find strong evidence that patents allowed by busy examiners exhibit significantly lower quality. Further, examiner busyness of firms’ patents negatively predicts the firms’ future stock returns, which is consistent with investor underreaction to examiner busyness. Examiners’ experience helps attenuate the negative effect of examiner busyness.

Option Return Predictability

Review of Financial Studies 2022 35(3), 1394-1442 open access
We uncover new return predictability in the cross-section of delta-hedged equity options. Expected returns to writing delta-hedged calls are negatively correlated with stock price, profit margin, and firm profitability, but positively correlated with cash holding, cash flow variance, new shares issuance, total external financing, distress risk, and dispersion of analysts’ forecasts. Our option portfolio strategies have annual Sharpe ratio above two and remain profitable after transaction costs. Their profits can be explained by two option factors, while equity risk factors have no explanatory power. We find support for several economic channels at work, yet the option return predictability remains puzzling.