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Securities Trading in the Absence of Dealers: Trades and Quotes on the Tokyo Stock Exchange

Review of Financial Studies 1995 8(3), 849-878
[This article investigates the behavior of intraday trades and quotes for individual stocks on the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE). We examine the transaction and quote record for three firms for the first 3 months of 1990. Our findings suggest that the immediacy available (at least for small trades) in the market is high, despite the reliance on public limit orders to supply liquidity. When orders that would otherwise walk through the limit order book are converted into limit orders, execution is delayed, but some orders execute (at least in part) at more favourable prices.]

An Analysis of Bidding in the Japanese Government Bond Auctions

Journal of Finance 1998 53(2), 755-772 open access
We examine the bidding patterns and auction profits in the Japanese Government Bond (JGB) auctions and empirically test the predictions of auction theory. We find that the average profit in JGB auctions is not reliably different from zero, and the degree of competition and the level of uncertainty are insignificant in determining auction profits. The winning shares of the U.S. dealers are positively related to auction profits, whereas the winning shares of their Japanese counterparts show a negative association. We also find that the share of winnings of Japanese dealers tends to be correlated with the share of winnings of their compatriot dealers but a similar relation is not found for U.S. dealers.

An Analysis of Bidding in the Japanese Government Bond Auctions

Journal of Finance 1998 53(2), 755-772
We examine the bidding patterns and auction profits in the Japanese Government Bond (JGB) auctions and empirically test the predictions of auction theory. We find that the average profit in JGB auctions is not reliably different from zero, and the degree of competition and the level of uncertainty are insignificant in determining auction profits. The winning shares of the U.S. dealers are positively related to auction profits, whereas the winning shares of their Japanese counterparts show a negative association. We also find that the share of winnings of Japanese dealers tends to be correlated with the share of winnings of their compatriot dealers but a similar relation is not found for U.S. dealers.

Predictable Stock Returns in the United States and Japan: A Study of Long-Term Capital Market Integration.

Journal of Finance 1992 47(1), 43-69
This paper uses the predictability of monthly excess returns on U.S. and Japanese equity portfolios over the U.S Treasury bill rate to study the integration of long-term capital markets in these two countries. During the period 1971-90, similar variables, including the dividend-price ratio and interest-rate variables, help to forecast excess returns in each country. In addition, in the 1980s, U.S. variables help to forecast excess Japanese stock returns. There is some evidence of common movement in expected excess returns across the two countries, which is suggestive of integration of long-term capital markets.

Predictable Stock Returns in the United States and Japan: A Study of Long‐Term Capital Market Integration

Journal of Finance 1992 47(1), 43-69 open access
This paper uses the predictability of monthly excess returns on U.S. and Japanese equity portfolios over the U.S. Treasury bill rate to study the integration of long‐term capital markets in these two countries. During the period 1971–1990 similar variables, including the dividend‐price ratio and interest rate variables, help to forecast excess returns in each country. In addition, in the 1980's U.S. variables help to forecast excess Japanese stock returns. There is some evidence of common movement in expected excess returns across the two countries, which is suggestive of integration of long‐term capital markets.

Correlations in Price Changes and Volatility across International Stock Markets

Review of Financial Studies 1990 3(2), 281-307
[The short-run interdependence of prices and price volatility across three major international stock markets is studied. Daily opening and closing prices of major stock indexes for the Tokyo, London, and New York stock markets are examined. The analysis utilizes the autoregressive conditionally heteroskedastic (ARCH) family of statistical models to explore these pricing relationships. Evidence of price volatility spillovers from New York to Tokyo, London to Tokyo, and New York to London is observed, but no price volatility spillover effects in other directions are found for the pre-October 1987 period.]

Securities Trading in the Absence of Dealers: Trades and Quotes on the Tokyo Stock Exchange

Review of Financial Studies 1995 8(3), 849-878
Yasushi HamaoColumbia UniversityJoel HasbrouckNew York UniversityThis article investigates the behavior of intra-day trades and quotes for individual stocks onthe Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE). We examine thetransaction and quote record for three firms forthe first 3 months of 1990. Our findings suggestthat the immediacy available (at least for smalltrades) in the market is high, despite the re-liance on public limit orders to supply liquidity.When orders that would otherwise walk throughthe limit order book are converted into limit or-ders, execution is delayed; but some orders exe-cute (at least in part) at more favorable prices.

Fundamentals and Stock Returns in Japan

Journal of Finance 1991 46(5), 1739-1764 open access
This paper relates cross‐sectional differences in returns on Japanese stocks to the underlying behavior of four variables: earnings yield, size, book to market ratio, and cash flow yield. Alternative statistical specifications and various estimation methods are applied to a comprehensive, high‐quality data set that extends from 1971 to 1988. The sample includes both manufacturing and nonmanufacturing firms, companies from both sections of the Tokyo Stock Exchange, and also delisted securities. Our findings reveal a significant relationship between these variables and expected returns in the Japanese market. Of the four variables considered, the book to market ratio and cash flow yield have the most significant positive impact on expected returns.

Fundamentals and Stock Returns in Japan

Journal of Finance 1991
This paper relates cross-sectional differences in returns on Japanese stocks to the underlying behavior of four variables: earnings yield, size, book to market ratio, and cash flow yield. Alternative statistical specifications and various estimation methods are applied to a comprehensive, high-quality data set that extends from 1971 to 1988. The sample includes both manufacturing and nonmanufacturing firms, companies from both sections of the Tokyo Stock Exchange, and also delisted securities. Our findings reveal a significant relationship between these variables and expected returns in the Japanese market. Of the four variables considered, the book to market ratio and cash flow yield have the most significant positive impact on expected returns.