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Journal of Finance Vol. 56 No. 1 2001

Have Individual Stocks Become More Volatile? An Empirical Exploration of Idiosyncratic Risk

John Y. Campbell1; Martin Lettau2; Burton G. Malkiel3; Yexiao Xu4

1 Harvard University · 2 Federal Reserve Bank of New York · 3 Princeton University · 4 Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

Abstract

This paper uses a disaggregated approach to study the volatility of common stocks at the market, industry, and firm levels. Over the period from 1962 to 1997 there has been a noticeable increase in firm‐level volatility relative to market volatility. Accordingly, correlations among individual stocks and the explanatory power of the market model for a typical stock have declined, whereas the number of stocks needed to achieve a given level of diversification has increased. All the volatility measures move together countercyclically and help to predict GDP growth. Market volatility tends to lead the other volatility series. Factors that may be responsible for these findings are suggested.

DOI
10.1111/0022-1082.00318
Volume
56
Issue
1
Pages
1-43
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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