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American Economic Review Vol. 104 No. 7 2014

Dynamic Adverse Selection: A Theory of Illiquidity, Fire Sales, and Flight to Quality

Veronica Guerrieri1; Robert Shimer2

1 Booth School of Business, University of Chicago, 5807 South Woodlawn Avenue, Chicago, IL 60637 (e-mail: ) · 2 Department of Economics, University of Chicago, 1126 East 59th Street, Chicago, IL 60637 (e-mail: )

Abstract

We develop a dynamic equilibrium model of asset markets with adverse selection. There exists a unique equilibrium in which better quality assets trade at higher prices but with a lower price-dividend ratio in less liquid markets. Sellers of high-quality assets signal quality by accepting a lower trading probability. We show how the distribution of sellers' private information affects an asset's price and liquidity, how a change in that distribution can cause a fire sale and a flight to quality, and how asset purchase and subsidy programs may raise prices and liquidity and reverse the flight to quality.

DOI
10.1257/aer.104.7.1875
Volume
104
Issue
7
Pages
1875-1908
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref openalex

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