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American Economic Review Vol. 106 No. 8 2016

The Realization Effect: Risk-Taking After Realized Versus Paper Losses

Alex Imas

Carnegie Mellon University, 5000 Forbes Avenue, Pittsburgh, PA 15213 (e-mail: )

open access

Abstract

Understanding how prior outcomes affect risk attitudes is critical for the study of choice under uncertainty. A large literature documents the significant influence of prior losses on risk attitudes. The findings appear contradictory: some studies find greater risk-taking after a loss, whereas others show the opposite—that people take on less risk. I reconcile these seemingly inconsistent findings by distinguishing between realized versus paper losses. Using new and existing data, I replicate prior findings and demonstrate that following a realized loss, individuals avoid risk; if the same loss is not realized, a paper loss, individuals take on greater risk.

DOI
10.1257/aer.20140386
Volume
106
Issue
8
Pages
2086-2109
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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