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American Economic Review Vol. 92 No. 5 2002

Hazards of Expropriation: Tenure Insecurity and Investment in Rural China

Hanan G. Jacoby1; Guo Li1; Scott Rozelle2

1 The World Bank, 1818 H Street, NW, Washington, DC 20433. · 2 Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of California-Davis, One Shields Avenue, Davis, CA 95616.

Abstract

We use household data from northeast China to examine the link between investment and land tenure insecurity induced by China's system of village-level land reallocation. We quantify expropriation risk using a hazard analysis of individual plot tenures and incorporate the predicted “hazards of expropriation” into an empirical analysis of plot-level investment. Our focus is on organic fertilizer use, which has long-lasting benefits for soil quality. Although we find that higher expropriation risk significantly reduces application of organic fertilizer, a welfare analysis shows that guaranteeing land tenure in this part of China would yield only minimal efficiency gains.

DOI
10.1257/000282802762024575
Volume
92
Issue
5
Pages
1420-1447
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref openalex

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