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American Economic Review Vol. 90 No. 5 2000

Market Contagion: Evidence from the Panics of 1854 and 1857

Morgan Kelly1; Cormac Ó Gráda2

1 Department of Economics, University of Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, U.K. · 2 Department of Economics, University College Dublin, Belfield, Dublin 4, Ireland.

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Abstract

To test a model of contagion—where individuals hear some bad news and communicate it to their acquaintances, who then pass it on, leading to a market panic—requires a knowledge of the information networks of participants, something hitherto unavailable. For two panics in the 1850's this paper examines the behavior of Irish depositors in a New York bank. As recent immigrants, their social network was determined largely by their place of origin in Ireland, and where they lived in New York. During both panics this social network turns out to be the prime determinant of behavior.

DOI
10.1257/aer.90.5.1110
Volume
90
Issue
5
Pages
1110-1124
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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