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American Economic Review Vol. 98 No. 4 2008

The Limited Influence of Unemployment on the Wage Bargain

Robert E. Hall1; Paul Milgrom2

1 Hoover Institution and Department of Economics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305-6010. · 2 Department of Economics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, 94305-6072.

Abstract

When a job-seeker and an employer meet, find a prospective joint surplus, and bargain over the wage, conditions in the outside labor market, including especially unemployment, may have limited influence. The job-seeker's only credible threat during bargaining is to hold out for a better deal. The employer's threat is to delay bargaining. Consequently, the outcome of the bargain depends on the relative costs of delays to the parties, rather than on the payoffs that result from exiting negotiations. Modeling bargaining in this way makes wages less responsive to unemployment. A stochastic model of the labor market with credible bargaining and reasonable parameter values yields larger employment fluctuations than does the standard Mortensen-Pissarides model.

DOI
10.1257/aer.98.4.1653
Volume
98
Issue
4
Pages
1653-1674
Language
en
Sources
openalex bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref

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