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American Economic Review Vol. 101 No. 3 2011

Challenges in Merger Simulation Analysis

Christopher R. Knittel1; Konstantinos Metaxoglou2

1 MIT Sloan School of Management, 50 Memorial Drive, Cambridge, MA 02142, and NBER. · 2 Bates White LLC, 1300 Eye Street NW, Washington, DC 20005.

open access

Abstract

In this paper, we share our experience with merger simulations using a Random Coefficient Logit model on the demand side and assuming a static Bertrand game on the supply side. Drawing largely from our work in Knittel and Metaxoglou (2008), we show that different demand estimates obtained from different combinations of optimization algorithms and starting values lead to substantial differences in post-merger market outcomes using metrics such as industry profits, and change in consumer welfare and prices.

DOI
10.1257/aer.101.3.56
Volume
101
Issue
3
Pages
56-59
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref openalex

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