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American Economic Review Vol. 110 No. 10 2020

Liquidity versus Wealth in Household Debt Obligations: Evidence from Housing Policy in the Great Recession

Peter Ganong1; Pascal Noel2

1 Harris School of Public Policy (email: ) · 2 Booth School of Business (email: )

Abstract

We exploit variation in mortgage modifications to disentangle the impact of reducing long-term obligations with no change in short-term payments (“wealth”), and reducing short-term payments with no change in long-term obligations (“liquidity”). Using regression discontinuity and difference-in-differences research designs with administrative data measuring default and consumption, we find that principal reductions that increase wealth without affecting liquidity have no effect, while maturity extensions that increase only liquidity have large effects. This suggests that liquidity drives default and consumption decisions for borrowers in our sample and that distressed debt restructurings can be redesigned with substantial gains to borrowers, lenders, and taxpayers.

DOI
10.1257/aer.20181243
Volume
110
Issue
10
Pages
3100-3138
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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