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American Economic Review Vol. 95 No. 5 2005

Human Capital Formation, Life Expectancy, and the Process of Development

Matteo Cervellati1; Uwe Sunde2

1 University of Bologna, Strada Maggiore 45, 40125 Bologna, Italy. · 2 IZA, Schaumburg-Lippe Strasse 9, 53113 Bonn, Germany, and University of Bonn.

Abstract

We provide a unified theory of the transition in income, life expectancy, education, and population size from a nondeveloped environment to sustained growth. Individuals optimally trade off the time cost of education with its lifetime returns. Initially, low longevity implies a prohibitive cost for human capital formation for most individuals. A positive feedback loop between human capital and increasing longevity, triggered by endogenous skill-biased technological progress, eventually provides sufficient returns for widespread education. The transition is not based on scale effects and induces population growth despite unchanged fertility. A simulation illustrates that the dynamics fit historical data patterns.

DOI
10.1257/000282805775014380
Volume
95
Issue
5
Pages
1653-1672
Language
en
Sources
crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex

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