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American Economic Review Vol. 110 No. 12 2020

Changing Business Dynamism and Productivity: Shocks versus Responsiveness

Ryan A. Decker1; John Haltiwanger2; Ron S. Jarmin3; Javier Miranda3

1 Federal Reserve Board (email: ) · 2 University of Maryland and NBER (email: ) · 3 US Census Bureau (email: )

Abstract

The pace of job reallocation has declined in the United States in recent decades. We draw insight from canonical models of business dynamics in which reallocation can decline due to (i ) lower dis persion of idiosyncratic shocks faced by businesses, or (ii ) weaker marginal responsiveness of businesses to shocks. We show that shock dispersion has actually risen, while the responsiveness of business-level employment to productivity has weakened. Moreover, declining responsiveness can account for a significant fraction of the decline in the pace of job reallocation, and we find suggestive evidence this has been a drag on aggregate productivity.

DOI
10.1257/aer.20190680
Volume
110
Issue
12
Pages
3952-3990
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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