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American Economic Review Vol. 95 No. 2 2005

Optimal Search Profiling with Linear Deterrence

Charles F. Manski

Department of Economics and Institute for Policy Research, Northwestern University, 2001 Sheridan Road, Evanston, IL 60208.

Abstract

I examine here an aspect of law enforcement that has recently been the subject of debate. This is the choice of a profiling policy wherein decisions to search for evidence of crime may vary with observable covariates of the persons at risk of being searched. Policies that make search rates vary with personal attributes are variously defended as essential to effective law enforcement and denounced as unfair to classes of persons subjected to relatively high search rates. Variation of search rates by race has been particularly controversial; see, for example, Knowles, Persico, and Todd (2001), Persico (2002), and Dominitz (2003). Whereas recent research on profiling has sought to define and detect racial discrimination, my concern is to understand how a social planner might choose a profiling policy. This paper studies optimal profiling in a simple, illustrative setting. In related work (Manski, 2004), I consider how a planner might reasonably behave when he does not possess all of the information needed to determine an optimal policy. Section I poses a utilitarian planning problem whose objective is to minimize the social cost of crime and search. Search is costly per se, and search that reveals a crime entails costs for punishment of offenders. Search is beneficial to the extent that it deters or prevents crime.

DOI
10.1257/000282805774669817
Volume
95
Issue
2
Pages
122-126
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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