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American Economic Review Vol. 99 No. 2 2009

Consolidation of New Democracy, Mass Attitudes, and Clientelism

Adi Brender1; Allan Drazen2

1 Research Department, Bank of Israel, Jerusalem 91007, Israel · 2 Department of Economics, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742.

Abstract

Adi Brender Allan DrazenDecember 2008When democracy is new it is often fragile or unconsolidated, meaning that importantpolitical groups lack full commitment to the democratic process, so that its survival is notassured. What economic policies can a government use to try to prevent a reversion toautocracy?One answer to this question begins with the argument that the threat to democracycomes from anti-democratic elites Œthe army, groups such as the wealthy who bene–ttedmost under the old regime, the fioligarchsflŒwho are seen as basically anti-democratic andwho have the power to overthrow the new democratic regime. The fimassesflare seen asunambiguously pro-democratic. Under this view, policy to consolidate democracy shouldfocus on placating the anti-democratic elites, or, colloquially but not inaccurately, to fibuythem o⁄.flThis approach has received a superb treatment in Daron Acemoglu and JamesA. Robinson (2005).Targeted economic policy to consolidate democracy can be viewed more generally. Sur-vival of democracy (and policy to enhance that) can be thought of in terms of two fun-damental questions. The –rst is: How does the support of di⁄erent actors a⁄ect theprobability that democracy survives? The second is then: How do these important actorschoose whether or not to support the continuation of democracy or its overthrow? Thedesign of policy to address democratic fragility depends on the answers to these two basicquestions. The policy prescription in the previous paragraph, for example, follows from theanswers: it is the elites alone who are determinate; and, their support depends on givingthem enough that they are content not to overthrow democracy.Our research on the fragility of new democracies focusses on di⁄erent, but complemen-tary issues. While we agree that anti-democratic elites pose a serious threat to fragile1

DOI
10.1257/aer.99.2.304
Volume
99
Issue
2
Pages
304-309
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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